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Premium Article When Upsets Attack (11/11)

November 11, 2010
PBP Roundup
Nov. 10

by Bradford Doolittle

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You have a few nights like this over the course of an NBA season, the league with the most extreme home court advantage of the major sports. Road teams won seven of the 10 games on last night's docket, with only the Spurs, Thunder and Wizards sending their fans home happy. Headlining the evening was another stellar comeback by the Utah Jazz, who leave Florida with a couple of confidence-boosting wins under their collective belts. Also, the Bucks put up their second terrific offensive performance in two nights and are suddenly jetting up the power rankings. Finally, in case you missed it, the night was capped by a career performance from Minnesota's Michael Beasley, who went off for 42 points at Sacramento. The best part was when Kings announcers Grant Napear and Jerry Reynolds suggested that, just maybe, the Heat would have been better off holding onto Beasley rather than shelling out for Chris Bosh. Hmmmm. Food for thought.

LIVE AT BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS

1. Every play counts for rebounding specialist Reggie Evans.

2. John Perrotto notes that Larry Drew's new offensive system in Atlanta seems to be working just fine.

3. John Gasaway discussed all things related to college hoops and even fended off a couple of NBA interlopers in his live chat.

4. Kevin Pelton explains our move to a premium model, a la the one in place at Baseball Prospectus. It's exciting for me because this move allows us to do more analysis and to take the evolution of the site to a higher level than I ever thought we'd reach. More articles, more data, more everything. And for less than $2 a month, why not?

5. John Gasaway is reacting to the reactors to his outstanding essay "The Trouble with Amateurism" from College Basketball Prospectus 2010-11. If you have any interest in college athletics, not just basketball, you've got to read that piece.

6. Kyle Whelliston looks at the University of Seatte's return to Division I college basketball, and what may lie ahead in the Pacific Northwest.

7. How much can we read into the early season results? Kevin Pelton takes a look.

8. There have been some terrific games already this season, but Utah's comeback against Miami might have been the game of the year--so far. Kevin Pelton examines the game and has some pointed observations about the Miami offense.

9. I was really excited when I wrote this post on Indiana's 54-point outburst in the third quarter against the Nuggets on Tuesday.

10. Kevin Pelton has a review of George Dohrmann's terrific book Play Their Hearts out.

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HOT FIVES

POWER RATING (POW)        GR (11/10/10)          WP82 - -ALL          WP82 -- ROOKIES
heat,miami, 63.5          durant,kevin, 34.8     gay,rudy, 28.6       wall,john, 12.5
hornets,neworleans, 63.4  harris,devin, 32.9     williams,deron, 21.9 griffin,blake, 9.8
lakers,losangeles, 61.3   millsap,paul, 32.8     james,lebron, 21.7   johnson,wesley, 5.2
celtics,boston, 60.3      randolph,zach, 32.6    rondo,rajon, 20.4    bledsoe,eric, 3.9
magic,orlando, 52.1       chandler,wilson, 31.5  ellis,monta, 19.9    turner,evan, 2.5
Note: GR leaders are from previous night only.

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WEDNESDAY'S BOX SCORES & RECAPS

NOTE: Glossary is at bottom of page.

BUCKS 108, HAWKS 91 (box): The Bucks have now won three of four and have put up four straight excellent defensive performances and, for the second night in a row, put up a season-best Offensive Rating. Overall, the Bucks have soared to No. 6 in POW thanks to the league's 11th-best point differential and the fifth-toughest schedule to date. Milwaukee trailed early, before the Bucks' second unit came on and led a 67-33 charge in the middle quarters. The reserves were led by Corey Maggette, who scored 20 points on eight shots and has enjoyed his best two games of the season the last two nights. Atlanta dropped its third straight thanks to a leaky defense that has laid two absolute eggs in its last two home games, losses to Phoenix and Milwaukee.

MIL (4-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   ATL (6-3)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
ilyasova,ersan       56%  31%  1.09  +16 24.3   smith,josh           64%  21%  0.86  -14 19.9
salmons,john         62%  20%  1.34  + 5 19.4   pachulia,zaza        47%  27%  1.10  - 5 16.4
jennings,brandon     61%  27%  1.43  + 9 18.8   horford,al           60%  16%  1.49  -10 16.1
dooling,keyon        38%  22%  1.10  +12 13.2   crawford,jordan      33%  31%  1.05  + 5 11.5
bogut,andrew         53%  15%  1.13  + 1 13.1   johnson,joe          64%  25%  0.80  -22  9.5
maggette,corey       62%  19%  1.33  +18  9.5   teague,jeff          45%  21%  1.33  - 6  9.2
gooden,drew          44%  21%  0.89  + 5  8.2   bibby,mike           52%  15%  1.53  - 3  8.9
boykins,earl         39%  16%  1.94  + 8  7.4   crawford,jamal       71%   9%  1.30  -24  6.2
mbahamoute,luc       38%  11%  0.53  - 1  2.7   powell,josh          43%  22%  0.50  -11  3.4
brockman,jon         44%   4%  1.49  +12  1.9   collins,jason        22%  18%  0.00  + 5  0.0
sanders,larry         2%  40%  1.99    0  1.7   thomas,etan (DNP)
delfino,carlos (DNP)                            williams,marvin (DNP)
PACE: 90.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 90.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
bucks,milwaukee    120.1 .563  .306 .145 .068   hawks,atlanta      101.2 .527  .175 .189 .103

---

JAZZ 104, MAGIC 94 (box): My gosh. The last two nights, the Jazz trailed by 22 points at Miami and 18 points at Orlando. Those are possibly the league's two best defensive teams and are clearly two of the prime contenders for this year's NBA title. Yet the Jazz outscored these teams by a combined 81-49 in the two fourth quarters and won both games. After dropping its first two games of the season by a combined 38 points, Utah has won five of six with wins at Oklahoma City, Miami and Orlando. Paul Millsap followed up his 46-point outburst with another solid outing, putting up 23 points. Millsap has posted better a GR than Al Jefferson in seven of Utah's eight games. Orlando was again hampered by Dwight Howard's foul trouble. Howard has had five fouls or more in five of Orlando's seven games, including four straight. And while Jefferson was again behind Millsap in GR, he did put up his second-best figure of the season under Howard's watch.

UTA (5-3)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   ORL (5-2)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
millsap,paul         81%  22%  1.18  + 5 32.8   carter,vince         76%  23%  1.28  - 5 21.2
williams,deron       88%  32%  1.32  +12 28.5   bass,brandon         76%  16%  1.11  - 5 20.5
jefferson,al         81%  26%  0.89  - 2 24.1   lewis,rashard        73%  22%  1.07  - 5 15.2
kirilenko,andre      74%  16%  1.26  +12 11.5   nelson,jameer        67%  23%  1.51  - 4 14.9
bell,raja            71%   7%  1.66  + 2  7.7   howard,dwight        69%  25%  0.95  + 5 12.3
miles,c.j.           55%   9%  1.20  +16  7.4   gortat,marcin        43%  11%  1.65  - 9  6.9
fesenko,kyrylo       19%  19%  0.75  +12  2.6   richardson,quentin   35%  17%  0.68  -12  6.1
elson,francisco      11%   9%  0.59  - 1  0.7   duhon,chris          33%  12%  0.62  - 6  3.7
price,ronnie         12%  23%  0.09  - 2  0.4   redick,j.j.          24%   9%  1.04  - 5  3.4
hayward,gordon        9%  10%  0.00  - 4  0.0   anderson,ryan         3%  62%  0.14  - 4  0.3
evans,jeremy (DNP)                              pietrus,mickael (DNP)
watson,earl (DNP)                               williams,jason (DNP)
PACE: 89.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 89.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
jazz,utah          115.7 .534  .207 .156 .137   magic,orlando      104.5 .506  .383 .234 .122

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BOBCATS 101, RAPTORS 96 (box): One of the big questions surrounding the Raptors entering the season was whether Andrea Bargnani could assume a larger role in the absence of Chris Bosh. Bargnani has been okay, though the deficiencies in his game are still glaring. Even more troubling is the lack of a consistent threat to team with Bargnani. Linas Kleiza has been up and down, mostly down, perhaps due to a sore Achilles tendon. Second-year guard DeMar DeRozan has been increasingly useless as of late. Toronto needs rookie Ed Davis to get back in the rotation if for no other reason than to offer some semblance of hope for the future. Charlotte's games continue to be fairly tight. Both of the Bobcats' wins have been by five points or less and Charlotte is 2-3 overall in those games so far this season. Seven of their eight games have been decided by 10 points or less.

CHA (2-6)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   TOR (1-7)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
wallace,gerald       91%  22%  1.13  +12 29.6   bargnani,andrea      80%  32%  0.99  - 1 30.6
jackson,stephen      84%  23%  1.09  + 2 27.8   weems,sonny          77%  17%  1.35  + 5 13.5
diaw,boris           79%  17%  0.84  +10 13.5   johnson,alexander    57%  24%  1.08  + 2 13.4
augustin,d.j.        71%  16%  1.71  + 9 13.4   wright,julian        44%  14%  1.54  +10 13.3
thomas,tyrus         44%  26%  1.21  - 3 11.1   jack,jarrett         51%  31%  0.94  - 6 12.5
hendersonjr,gerald   40%  18%  1.27  - 6  7.6   calderon,jose        49%  19%  1.01  - 1 11.7
mohammed,nazr        36%  27%  0.67  + 8  4.3   evans,reggie         62%   6%  1.06  - 9  5.5
livingston,shaun     29%   5%  1.96  - 4  2.6   derozan,demar        43%   8%  0.84  -16  3.4
carroll,matt          8%  12%  1.74  - 3  1.3   kleiza,linas         36%  17%  0.48  - 9  2.8
brown,derrick        10%   9%  1.47    0  0.9   alabi,soloman (DNP)
diop,desagana         8%  13%  0.00    0  0.0   banks,marcus (DNP)
collins,sherron (DNP)                           dorsey,joey (DNP)
PACE: 90.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 90.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
bobcats,charlotte  112.2 .536  .250 .189 .161   raptors,toronto    106.7 .475  .333 .189 .122

---

WIZARDS 98, ROCKETS 91 (box): John Wall stole the headlines with his first career triple-double and also added six steals while committing a season-low one turnover. Al Thornton took GR honors for the Wizards because of his decisive positional win over Houston's Shane Battier. Thornton became the first Battier counterpart this season to produce points at a better-than-average rate. Thornton has been very efficient so far this season, with a .568 True Shooting Percentage that is easily his career best. He's doing that while using the same average-ish rate of possessions as last year and despite the fact that he has shot poorly from the three-point line.

HOU (1-6)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   WAS (2-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
martin,kevin         77%  33%  1.18  - 4 28.4   thornton,al          77%  20%  1.15  + 2 25.4
scola,luis           88%  25%  0.85  - 4 14.9   blatche,andra        73%  29%  0.97  + 8 22.3
budinger,chase       51%  17%  1.08  +13 14.8   wall,john            87%  17%  1.93  +12 17.3
smith,ishmael        55%  19%  1.34  - 2 11.3   mcgee,javale         47%  13%  1.37  - 3 12.3
lowry,kyle           44%  27%  0.47  - 7  8.7   jianlian,yi          60%  21%  1.01  +10  8.0
miller,brad          28%  22%  1.16  + 6  6.8   hinrich,kirk         61%  24%  0.68  - 5  6.9
hayes,chuck          52%   3%  1.64  - 7  4.9   arenas,gilbert       48%  17%  0.74  + 7  5.7
hill,jordan          19%  29%  0.67  - 7  2.6   young,nick           17%  21%  0.87  + 4  4.2
battier,shane        50%   2%  2.29  -18  1.9   martin,cartier        9%  10%  0.51  + 1  0.5
lee,courtney         23%  15%  0.16  - 3  0.5   armstrong,hilton     20%   1%  0.11  - 1  0.1
ming,yao             13%   7%  0.46  - 2  0.3   booker,trevor (DNP)
jeffries,jared (DNP)                            seraphin,kevin (DNP)
PACE: 95.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 95.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
rockets,houston     95.2 .425  .222 .157 .088   wizards,washington 102.6 .477  .320 .178 .101

---

NETS 95, CAVALIERS 87 (box): This had to be a letdown for the Cavaliers, who were gunning for their fourth straight win. Devin Harris put up a season-best GR for the Nets in what has been a nice comeback season for the former All-Star. Harris clocks in at a solid 27th in the NBA with 11.1 WP82, which puts him in the 92nd percentile of the league. That's help compensate for the poor start of center Brook Lopez (6.5 WP82, 61st percentile). The Cavs got a tough break when Mo Williams re-injured his groin, a malady which could keep him out for awhile.

NJN (3-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   CLE (4-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
harris,devin         90%  33%  1.06  + 5 32.9   jamison,antawn       49%  33%  0.93  - 4 17.2
morrow,anthony       87%  12%  2.14  +15 27.3   moon,jamario         57%  13%  1.08  + 4 13.5
humphries,kris       84%  15%  1.40  + 9 17.1   varejao,anderson     73%  10%  1.04  -11 12.2
farmar,jordan        59%  20%  1.51  +10 14.6   gibson,daniel        61%  21%  0.58  -10 12.1
lopez,brook          39%  14%  0.71    0  5.3   hickson,j.j.         51%  32%  0.79  - 4 10.3
favors,derrick       47%  30%  0.54  + 9  5.2   sessions,ramon       54%  26%  1.01  - 4 10.2
outlaw,travis        65%   9%  0.83  + 1  4.1   williams,maurice     46%  25%  1.01  - 4  9.5
petro,johan          10%  29%  1.14  + 2  2.1   hollins,ryan         27%  24%  1.47  + 3  6.5
ross,quinton         10%  18%  0.00  - 7  0.0   parker,anthony       56%  10%  1.38  - 7  5.4
petro,johan (DNP)                               williams,jawad       25%   2%  2.36  - 3  2.6
james,damion (DNP)                              graham,joey (DNP)
uzoh,ben (DNP)                                  powe,leon (DNP)
PACE: 87.4          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 87.4          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
nets,newjersey     108.7 .463  .313 .103 .176   cavaliers,cleve     99.5 .461  .175 .126 .111

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WARRIORS 122, KNICKS 117 (box): A promising fresh start is turning rancid for the Knicks, who have lost three straight and dropped to 1-3 at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are also 1-3 in close games. The offense was better last night, but the defense couldn't contain the Warriors' super-quick backcourt. Former Knick David Lee was recognized before the game and then went out and put up his best game of the season. His 28 points were 11 more than he'd scored in a game so far for Golden State.

GSW (6-2)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   NYK (3-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
ellis,monta          84%  23%  1.02  + 7 25.6   chandler,wilson      85%  25%  1.10  - 5 31.5
lee,david            84%  25%  1.17  + 9 25.1   stoudemire,amare     85%  28%  1.16  - 2 24.1
curry,stephen        94%  21%  1.25  + 6 23.9   felton,raymond       78%  20%  1.27  -13 23.6
wright,dorell        87%  12%  1.33  + 3 13.9   fields,landry        71%  12%  1.04  + 9 11.9
williams,reggie      48%  21%  0.83  - 6 13.4   gallinari,danilo     68%  19%  0.98  - 7  9.8
biedrins,andris      55%  16%  1.09  +14  7.7   douglas,toney        71%  17%  0.62  - 1  9.0
wright,brandan       20%  25%  0.89  + 3  4.0   randolph,anthony     16%  10%  0.69  - 5  1.2
radmanovic,vladimir  13%  20%  0.69  - 9  2.8   walker,bill          21%   4%  1.18  + 2  1.2
lin,jeremy            6%  13%  0.84  - 1  1.1   mozgov,timofey        4%  17%  0.77  - 3  0.5
carney,rodney        10%   9%  0.12  - 1  0.1   mason,roger (DNP)
adrien,jeff (DNP)                               rautins,andy (DNP)
bell,charlie (DNP)                              williams,shawne (DNP)
PACE: 103.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%  PACE: 103.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
warriors,goldenst   117.7 .556  .220 .135 .136  knicks,newyork      112.8 .513  .250 .203 .182

---

MAVERICKS 106, GRIZZLIES 91 (box): Dallas rode a season-best Offensive Rating to a get-even win at Memphis. Dallas lost at home to the Grizzlies on Oct. 29. DeShawn Stevenson played well in his second straight start after playing just two minutes in Dallas' first five games. Stevenson hit three three-pointers and hampered O.J. Mayo into his worst game of the season. Mayo had four points on 1-of-8 shooting in 29 minutes.

DAL (5-2)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   MEM (4-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
stevenson,deshawn    44%  13%  2.33  +16 19.7   randolph,zach        72%  24%  1.47  -12 32.6
marion,shawn         72%  21%  1.30  +12 19.6   gay,rudy             81%  24%  1.09  -14 15.4
kidd,jason           54%  13%  2.01  + 8 17.8   arthur,darrell       36%  17%  1.30  -11 13.7
terry,jason          65%  26%  1.62  + 7 17.2   conley,mike          77%  16%  1.04  -13 11.6
chandler,tyson       49%  16%  1.57  +13 11.6   gasol,marc           64%  18%  0.91  - 5  7.8
haywood,brendan      49%  22%  0.67  + 5 10.7   henry,xavier         42%  24%  0.70  - 4  7.3
nowitzki,dirk        62%  22%  1.08  +26  9.6   mayo,o.j.            60%  16%  0.66  -15  5.7
barea,jose           49%  22%  1.31  + 1  8.8   allen,tony           22%  28%  1.02  - 5  4.6
cardinal,brian       42%  15%  0.93  - 1  5.7   law,acie             19%  13%  1.55    0  3.2
novak,steve           4%  28%  0.51  - 1  0.8   vasquez,greivis       2%  45%  3.34  + 3  2.4
jones,dominique       2%  51%  0.34  - 3  0.2   young,sam            12%   8%  0.27  - 1  0.3
mahinmi,ian           8%  13%  0.00  - 8  0.0   thabeet,hasheem      12%   8%  0.00  + 2  0.0
PACE: 87.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 87.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
mavericks,dallas   121.9 .594  .282 .115 .056   grizzlies,memphis  104.6 .476  .240 .138 .096

---

THUNDER 109, 76ERS 103 (box): Kevin Durant went 16-of-16 from the line and put up his third straight GR of 34 or better. Andres Nocioni, who has done a solid defensive job on Indiana's Danny Granger twice this season, did what he could with Durant, which wasn't much. However, the dropoff once Nocioni sat was considerable. Sixers coach Doug Collins may be stuck having to overexpose Nocioni as long as Andre Iguodala is out with his Achilles injury.

PHI (2-6)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   OKC (4-3)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
brand,elton          80%  22%  1.06    0 20.1   durant,kevin         83%  30%  1.09  +10 34.8
holiday,jrue         68%  24%  1.20    0 19.2   westbrook,russell    89%  34%  1.08  + 1 29.2
meeks,jodie          46%  22%  1.66  - 9 13.4   ibaka,serge          65%  11%  1.59  + 9 13.0
hawes,spencer        41%  14%  1.26    0 12.7   sefolosha,thabo      83%   8%  1.52  + 1 12.1
turner,evan          81%  15%  1.06  - 4 12.4   maynor,eric          34%  16%  1.12  + 5 11.6
nocioni,andres       64%  18%  0.89  + 7 10.6   harden,james         46%  18%  0.87  - 2  6.2
williams,lou         36%  31%  0.59  -12  6.9   krstic,nenad         74%  13%  0.65  - 5  5.9
young,thaddeus       47%  10%  1.56  - 2  6.2   cook,daequan          7%  25%  0.95  + 4  2.2
speights,marreese    16%  22%  0.66  - 8  4.4   aldrich,cole         19%  15%  0.00  + 7  0.0
battie,tony          21%  22%  0.58  - 2  3.0   ivey,royal (DNP)
brackins,craig (DNP)                            peterson,morris (DNP)
songaila,darius (DNP)                           white,d.j. (DNP)
PACE: 94.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 94.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
76ers,philadelphia 108.8 .512  .293 .180 .126   thunder,oklacity   115.2 .507  .167 .159 .172

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SPURS 107, CLIPPERS 95 (box): Gary Neal has had two good games this year, both of them outings in which he got on a three-point roll. That was enough for ESPN's Stuart Scott to proclaim Neal a future "superstar." Apparently, San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich didn't get the memo, because Neal played one minute last night. I like Neal--I myself labeled him as the possible Bruce Bowen clone that Popovich has been searching for--but he's not a superstar. Not now, not ever. Anyway, you have to feel for the Clippers, who played without Baron Davis and Chris Kaman, a situation that is likely to persist for a couple of weeks at least. Of course, the way those two have played, it might be best for Vinny Del Negro to just go hyper young anyway. The Clippers have lost four straight but here's the thing: L.A. has played the league's toughest schedule--by a mile. The Clippers' opponents are an aggregate 49-19 this season.

LAC (1-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   SAS (6-1)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
butler,rasual        82%  16%  1.36  - 7 19.7   jefferson,richard    74%  22%  1.39  + 4 23.5
griffin,blake        80%  25%  0.72  -15 13.9   parker,tony          74%  26%  1.23  +18 21.0
bledsoe,eric         65%  26%  0.89  -17 13.4   ginobili,manu        74%  21%  1.55  +10 20.9
smith,craig          35%  25%  1.56    0 13.3   hill,george          54%  17%  1.38  + 5 15.8
jordan,deandre       31%  16%  1.37  -14 11.4   blair,dejuan         59%  16%  0.86  -14 11.0
gomes,ryan           79%  12%  1.15  - 8 10.2   anderson,james       23%  15%  2.15  - 1 10.3
cook,brian           24%  37%  0.96  + 1  9.0   duncan,tim           46%  18%  0.84  +15  5.4
aminu,alfarouq       55%  18%  0.95  - 8  7.3   mcdyess,antonio      54%  14%  0.79  +10  4.4
warren,willie        35%   9%  1.76  + 5  4.5   splitter,tiago       33%  17%  0.97  +10  4.3
collins,jarron       13%  21%  0.73  + 3  3.0   neal,gary             2%  36%  1.98  + 1  1.8
kaman,chris (DNP)                               gee,alonzo            2%  45%  0.45  + 1  0.5
davis,baron (DNP)                               quinn,chris           2%  45%  0.00  + 1  0.0
PACE: 89.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 89.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
clippers,losangel  105.6 .506  .295 .167 .068   spurs,sanantonio   119.0 .570  .323 .211 .147

---

TIMBERWOLVES 98, KINGS 89 (box): This was the Michael Beasley show. Beasley doubled his season high with 42 points, which was also 12 points better than his previous career best. Beasley needed 31 shots to get those points, however. Beasley's outburst came primarily at the expense of the Kings' Omri Casspi. Casspi had decent defensive indicators as a rookie, but has been getting torched this season. Every one of his counterparts this season has produced points at a rate at least 2.6 percent better than their seasonal norms.

MIN (2-7)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   SAC (3-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
beasley,michael      86%  42%  1.01  + 9 27.3   udrih,beno           84%  19%  1.25  -10 25.2
johnson,wesley       64%  13%  1.59  - 6 23.2   garcia,francisco     59%  21%  0.85  - 8 15.6
love,kevin           58%  19%  0.74  - 4 14.0   casspi,omri          57%  25%  1.17  + 3 10.1
telfair,sebastian    83%  16%  0.87  + 5 11.0   dalembert,samuel     76%  13%  1.43  - 6  9.0
milicic,darko        66%  20%  0.89  - 5  9.4   cousins,demarcus     29%  29%  0.90  - 1  8.6
tolliver,anthony     40%   7%  1.80  +16  8.8   jackson,darnell      48%  18%  1.08  - 1  8.1
brewer,corey         49%  15%  0.58  +12  6.0   evans,tyreke         58%  19%  0.83  - 2  6.7
pekovic,nikola       34%   9%  1.27  +14  3.7   landry,carl          41%  17%  0.65  - 8  6.6
ager,maurice         17%   9%  0.29  + 4  0.8   thompson,jason       30%  20%  0.55  - 5  3.4
hayward,lazar         2%  54%  0.00    0  0.0   greene,donte          8%  10%  1.31    0  1.4
ellington,wayne (DNP)                           head,luther           7%  29%  0.00  - 5  0.0
koufos,kosta (DNP)                              wright,antoine (DNP)
PACE: 94.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 94.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
timberwolves,minn  104.2 .494  .267 .160 .094   kings,sacramento    94.7 .479  .216 .202 .150

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEWS & MOVES

Minutiae from around the league

LEAGUE: "Quintin Dailey, a talented but troubled basketball player whose missteps, including a sexual assault conviction, contributed to the University of San Franciscoís decision to drop its storied basketball program for three years, died Monday in Las Vegas. He was 49. The cause was hypertensive cardiovascular disease, a spokeswoman for the Clark County Coronerís Office said." (New York Times)
A sad end for a largely wasted life. Dailey had a ton of ability and was one of the main reasons to watch the Bulls before Michael Jordan was drafted.

LEAGUE: "Former NBA player Lorenzen Wright died in late July after being shot at least five times, an autopsy report released Wednesday showed. Bullet fragments lodged in Wright's skull, chest and right forearm, indicating five shots, the medical examiner's report showed. The report did not exclude the possibility of additional gunshot wounds to the body, which was found in woods in suburban Memphis on July 28. Wright, 34, had been missing for 10 days when his body was found. No arrests have been made in the months since the slaying, and Memphis police haven't offered a motive or suspects." (Associated Press)

CAVALIERS: "Mo Williams stared blankly toward the far wall in Cleveland's locker room, his eyes glazed and distant. The Cavaliers' starting point guard is hurt again. Williams, who missed most of training camp and the season's first three games with a right groin injury, suffered the same injury to his left side on Wednesday night in Cleveland's 95-87 loss to the New Jersey Nets. Devin Harris scored a season-high 31 points, Kris Humphries added 13 and 18 rebounds in his first start and Anthony Morrow added 21 points - 15 on 3-pointers - as the Nets snapped a five-game losing streak and got their first road win. For Williams, this was the worst possible scenario. After babying his previous groin injury so he would be able to come back at full strength and help the Cavs, he went out with 3:39 left in the third quarter with what the team called a left adductor strain. Based on the recovery time of his most recent injury, Williams could be out for an extended period." (Associated Press)
More run for Ramon Sessions and Daniel Gibson.

ROCKETS: "center Yao Ming left Wednesday's game with the Washington Wizards with a strained tendon in his left leg. The 7-foot-6 Yao played the opening 6:14 of the game and did not return. He did not score and grabbed one rebound. The injury-prone Yao sat out the entire 2009-10 season after undergoing surgery to repair his broken left foot. The Rockets have been limiting Yao's minutes early in the season and before the game coach Rick Adelman said no decision has been made on increasing his playing time." (ESPN)
The injury is not related to the stress fractures that kept Yao out last season. He likely won't play Friday in Indiana. He's getting some more tests today, so we'll see how this plays out.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FAB FIVE

A selection of our favorite NBA links

1. Who are the biggest over- and under-achievers so far? Neil Paine has a look.

2. Ever hear of Satnam Singh Bhamara? Me either, but apparently he may be the Indian version of Yao Ming.

3. Though Magic Johnson divested himself of a share of the Lakers, he's still interested in owning a team.

4. The guys at Nets Are Scorching examine some troubling trends in Brook Lopez's game.

5. Are Raptors fans getting worried about DeMar DeRozan?

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ON TAP

Tonight in the NBA

WTC  VIS @ HOM,  GAMETIME     NBAPET LINE    OFFICIALS
+23  bos @ mia,  8:00 PM EST [ mia by 11 ]   
+ 8  gsw @ chi,  8:00 PM EST [ gsw by  0 ]   
+14  lal @ den, 10:30 PM EST [ lal by  7 ]   
Note: WTC is a junk stat rating the "watchability" of a game, taking into
account the quality of the opponents and the likelihood of a close game.

Through Wednesday, 116 of 1,230 games (9.4%) have been played in the 2010-11 NBA regular season.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GLOSSARY
+/- (Plus-Minus) Raw data is from official box scores from NBA.com.
GR (Game Rating) Reflects a player's Points Created total, or the portion of his team's offense for which he gets credit based on his box score line. This number is then adjusted for estimated defensive performance based on box score counterpart productivity. GR is pace-adjusted so you can compare players from game to game.
PCP (Points Created Per Possession Used) An estimate of each player's points created per possession used, a measure of offensive efficiency. The stat accounts for a player's entire box score line, not just the scoring categories.
PLY% (Play {ercentage) An estimate of the percentage of a team's possessions on which the player was on the court.
USG An estimate of how many of those plays a player used by shooting, going to the line or committing a turnover, with a portion the team's offensive rebound total subtracted.
TEAM STATS
PACE: Esimated possessions in the game.
ORTG: A team's points per 100 possessions.
eFG%: Team's shooting percentage with an extra half-point added for each made three-point field goal.
oRB%: Percentage of a team's misses that they retrieved off the offensive glass.
TO%: Percentage of at team's possessions resulting in a turnover.
FTA%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a trip to the foul line.

You can follow Bradford on Twitter at twitter.com/@bbdoolittle.

You can order a copy of Pro Basketball Prospectus 2010-11 here.

Bradford Doolittle is an author of Basketball Prospectus. You can contact Bradford by clicking here or click here to see Bradford's other articles.

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