Home Unfiltered Articles Players Baseball Prospectus
Basketball Prospectus home
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Click here for Important Basketball Prospectus Premium Information!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Trend Watch (11/22)
<< Previous Column
PBP Roundup (11/19)
Next Column >>
PBP Roundup (11/23)
Next Article >>
The Clipboard (11/22)

November 22, 2010
PBP Roundup
Nov. 19-21

by Bradford Doolittle

Printer-
friendly
Contact
Author

Charlotte's Stephen Jackson may or may not be named the Eastern Conference's Player of the Week today. I really have no idea. Make no mistake about it, Jackson is the league's hottest player, whether or not he gets the award. Jackson's last four GR totals: (41.3, 38.2, 39.4, 41.2). Remember, GR is scaled to look like a points total, so you can look at those numbers as if Jackson were a 40 points per game scorer over his last four outings. His actual high point total is 30 during this streak. GR tries to capture the overall contribution of a player to his team's Offensive Rating and point differential in a given game. While Jackson's offensive numbers have been excellent, it's his defense that really has NBAPET popping. The system measures dMULT for each player in each game, according to his most likely box score counterpart. In Jackson's case--and remember we haven't gone to the video to confirm whom Jackson has been been guarding--here are his last four dMULT figures:

PLAYER GUARDED   dMULT
bell,raja        .631
johnson,wesley   .606
wade,dwyane      .600
richardson,jason .668

Because dMULT can be so extreme for any one game, it has a floor of .600 in the GR formulation (and a ceiling of 1.400). That means Jackson has held his counterparts at least 33.2 percent below their average season production in each of his last four games. While I would never make any definitive statements based on a one-game dMULT score, taken as a group, I think the pattern is clear: Jackson has been playing some hellacious defense, the kind that deserves recognition. Jackson may be honored by the league today; as I wrote, his offensive numbers have been excellent and he grabbed headlines by recording the first-ever triple-double in Charlotte Bobcats history on Saturday. If he's overlooked, though, consider this fodder for argument. For the season, Jackson has a .804 dMULT. Again, that means in any given outing, he can be expected to hold his opponent's production 20 percent under its normal level. The Bobcats have slipped from first to 14th in Defensive Rating since last season, but it's not Jackson's fault.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PRO BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS HOOPS LIST

Games through Nov. 21
TEAM, POW                          TEAM, POW
1. hornets,neworleans, 67.7        16. bobcats,charlotte, 35.3
2. celtics,boston, 62.3            17. pacers,indiana, 34.9
3. spurs,sanantonio, 58.0          18. warriors,goldenstate, 34.4
4. bulls,chicago, 56.7             19. grizzlies,memphis, 34.1
5. lakers,losangeles, 54.8         20. rockets,houston, 33.9
6. heat,miami, 54.7                21. knicks,newyork, 32.8
7. mavericks,dallas, 52.3          22. raptors,toronto, 30.4
8. jazz,utah, 51.7                 23. pistons,detroit, 30.4
9. magic,orlando, 50.8             24. cavaliers,cleveland, 29.0
10. trailblazers,portland, 48.5    25. nets,newjersey, 27.4
11. thunder,oklahomacity, 48.0     26. 76ers,philadelphia, 26.0
12. nuggets,denver, 47.7           27. kings,sacramento, 22.1
13. suns,phoenix, 43.7             28. wizards,washington, 21.4
14. hawks,atlanta, 41.7            29. timberwolves,minnesota, 19.9
15. bucks,milwaukee, 41.4          30. clippers,losangeles, 12.7
NOTE: POW, our formula for a team's power rating, is an estimate of a team's "true talent" level expressed as wins per 82 games. The formula takes into account point differential, home-road performance, record in close games and strength of schedule.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FANTASY PROJECTIONS

This week's first downloadable fantasy projection spreadsheet is available for anyone that has at least a free basic subscription to Prospectus. If you don't have one, just go here and register. As I say, this one is free, but to get further updates, you'll need a subscription to Basketball Prospectus Premium. Once you're registered, the sheet will be available on your 'Manage Profile' page.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LIVE AT BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS

1. In his Prospectus debut, Sebastian Pruiti has a video analysis of Raymond Felton's problems in the pick-and-roll. (Free preview)

2. Bradford Doolittle breaks down this weekend's five-player trade between the Hornets and the Raptors. (premium)

3. Our own Asher Fusco was at Madison Square Garden, covering the Coaches vs. Cancer Classic, featuring luminaries Texas, Maryland, Pittsburgh and Illinois. (premium)

4. Kevin Pelton got a first-hand glimpse of John Calipari's new-look Kentucky squad. (premium)

5. Should ESPN's early-season hoops marathon actually kick off the campaign? (premium)

6. Bradford Doolittle offers an early glimpse of

Missouri's revamped roster. (Unfiltered)

7. Kevin Pelton has some early thoughts about college basketball in the Northwest.

8. Kyle Whelliston took note of three mid-major close calls from college basketball's first full week. (Unfiltered)

9. On the Beat, defense is fueling fast starts, DeMarcus Cousins is getting testy and the Grizzlies are circling the wagons. (premium)

10. Have a question about Greg Oden's latest injury? Kevin Pelton has the answer. (free article)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOT FIVES

POWER RATING (POW)        GR (11/19-11/21)          WP82 -- ALL          WP82 -- ROOKIES
hornets,neworleans, 67.7  ellis,monta (f), 47.9     james,lebron, 25.0   griffin,blake, 10.9
celtics,boston, 62.3      jackson,stephen (s), 41.2 bryant,kobe, 23.9    wall,john, 8.7
spurs,sanantonio, 58.0    james,lebron (f), 39.6    williams,deron, 23.3 bledsoe,eric, 5.1
bulls,chicago, 56.7       jackson,stephen (f), 39.4 gay,rudy, 20.8       johnson,wesley, 3.1
lakers,losangeles, 54.8   harden,james (s), 37.6    gasol,pau, 19.9      turner,evan, 3.1
Note: GR leaders are from the weekend only; (f)-Friday, (s)-Saturday, (u)-Sunday.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRIDAY'S BOX SCORES & RECAPS

NOTE: Glossary is at bottom of page.

THUNDER 89, CELTICS 84 (box): The Thunder once again held sway at the foul line in a game in which the two teams combined to shoot 4-of-30 from the floor in the fourth quarter. Oklahoma City has been outscored at the line just twice this season. Russell Westbrook scored 31 points as the Thunder survived without Kevin Durant and Jeff Green. Rajon Rondo tweaked his hamstring and missed the last half of the fourth quarter for the Celtics.

OKC (8-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   BOS (9-3)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
westbrook,russell    77%  46%  0.90  - 2 27.5   pierce,paul          76%  24%  0.81  - 4 17.9
harden,james         77%  19%  0.99  + 7 18.4   o'neal,shaquille     58%  14%  1.30  + 3 16.8
maynor,eric          27%  22%  1.59  + 4 12.1   garnett,kevin        63%  19%  1.04  - 9 14.7
ibaka,serge          75%  15%  0.99  + 2 11.1   rondo,rajon          70%  21%  1.14  - 7 12.9
ivey,royal           34%  11%  1.83  + 5  9.5   robinson,nate        23%  27%  0.90  - 2  9.1
sefolosha,thabo      75%  10%  0.84  + 4  7.1   allen,ray            72%  14%  1.04  - 1  8.4
collison,nick        49%  10%  0.80  + 4  5.6   davis,glen           50%  28%  0.51  + 2  5.7
white,d.j.           25%  25%  0.94  + 3  5.1   west,delonte         35%  17%  1.10    0  4.6
krstic,nenad         51%  15%  0.53  - 1  3.9   erden,semih          28%  18%  0.42  - 4  2.9
peterson,morris      11%  10%  0.00  - 1  0.0   daniels,marquis      24%  12%  0.65  - 1  1.6
cook,daequan (DNP)                              harangody,luke        1%   -%  0.00  - 2  0.0
mullens,byron (DNP)                             wafer,von (DNP)
PACE: 88.8          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 88.8          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
thunder,oklacity   100.2 .477  .176 .225 .159   celtics,boston      94.6 .493  .088 .169 .134

---

76ERS 90, BUCKS 79 (box): With Offensive Ratings of 89.0 and 91.8 over the weekend, it's safe to say that the Bucks are flailing for answers. Drew Gooden is always productive. He's also always expendable. When he's leading your offense in shots attempted, you're in trouble. The Bucks went 0-of-12 from the three-point line in the game.

MIL (5-7)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   PHI (3-10)          PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
gooden,drew          77%  18%  1.14  - 8 25.2   williams,lou         64%  27%  1.10  + 6 17.3
jennings,brandon     63%  31%  0.72  - 7 15.4   young,thaddeus       81%  21%  1.26  +17 16.0
maggette,corey       55%  34%  0.91  -10 13.3   hawes,spencer        52%  18%  1.04  + 6 14.6
salmons,john         76%  16%  1.09  - 7 10.9   holiday,jrue         65%  25%  0.80  + 5 14.5
boykins,earl         37%  34%  0.63  - 4  7.5   nocioni,andres       46%  25%  1.11  +10 13.2
bogut,andrew         66%  10%  1.02  - 6  6.0   turner,evan          60%  10%  1.80  - 4 11.2
dooling,keyon        24%  10%  0.83  - 4  3.4   speights,marreese    35%  28%  0.49  + 8  7.1
mbahamoute,luc       45%   9%  1.05  - 1  3.0   brand,elton          65%  12%  0.61  - 1  4.8
brockman,jon         19%   7%  1.93  + 7  2.8   meeks,jodie          26%   6%  1.28  + 8  2.7
ilyasova,ersan       18%  27%  0.26  - 2  1.4   battie,tony           7%  15%  0.00    0  0.0
sanders,larry        20%   8%  0.00  -13  0.0   kapono,jason (DNP)
delfino,carlos (DNP)                            songaila,darius (DNP)
PACE: 88.8          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 88.8          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
bucks,milwaukee     89.0 .338  .283 .158 .154   76ers,philadelphia 101.4 .446  .231 .180 .139

---

RAPTORS 106, ROCKETS 96 (box): Andrea Bargnani scored 26 points, the first of a pair of sterling performances over the weekend. Bargnani is off to an excellent start. He's upped his usage rate from .224 to .293, while keeping his True Shooting Percentage steady (from .552 to .549). He's taken 13 percent more of his shots inside the arc and while his percentage there isn't great, it's led to a spike in his foul-drawing rate. He's shooting free throws better and hitting 43 percent from three-point range. His overall game is still lacking, but he's become a damn good scorer.

HOU (3-9)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   TOR (4-9)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
martin,kevin         84%  29%  1.21    0 29.0   bargnani,andrea      75%  26%  1.24  - 2 33.5
lowry,kyle           83%  14%  1.53    0 21.4   kleiza,linas         66%  19%  1.14  +20 20.2
scola,luis           76%  29%  0.79    0 21.2   johnson,amir         56%  18%  1.02  +29 13.0
battier,shane        70%  17%  1.36  + 3 13.5   andersen,david       24%  30%  1.18  +10 11.6
miller,brad          62%  13%  0.90  - 2  5.5   derozan,demar        88%  19%  0.77  +10  9.7
smith,ishmael        17%  17%  1.50  -10  3.4   calderon,jose        53%  20%  1.27  +27  8.0
lee,courtney         16%  18%  1.33  -10  3.3   weems,sonny          46%  25%  1.04  -10  7.2
hayes,chuck          44%   7%  1.08  - 8  2.2   jack,jarrett         48%  12%  1.36  -15  4.9
hill,jordan          19%  12%  0.80  -10  1.6   evans,reggie         44%   8%  0.87  -19  3.5
budinger,chase       30%  26%  0.00  -13  0.0   banks,marcus (DNP)
jeffries,jared (DNP)                            dorsey,joey (DNP)
taylor,jermaine (DNP)                           wright,julian (DNP)
PACE: 95.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 95.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
rockets,houston    101.1 .487  .175 .179 .102   raptors,toronto    111.6 .512  .268 .147 .139

---

WIZARDS 89, GRIZZLIES 86 (box): The Grizzlies get the schizo award for the weekend by losing to the Wizards and beating the Heat. On Friday, O.J. Mayo and Mike Conley both missed threes in the final seconds, sandwiched around a big offensive rebound by Zach Randolph. JaVale McGee looked as good as I've seen him yet over the weekend. On Friday, he put up 10 points and 12 boards, six offensive, and blocked three shots in 38 minutes. He's really learning to use his length and agility to his advantage. He's still prone to picking up bad fouls because he slaps at shot attempts rather than going straight up, but he's better at staying on the court for longer stretches. He's cut back on bad shots, which has made him a low-usage, high efficiency center. You can win with those, especially if they rebound and block shots as well as McGee has this season. The one problem with his game right now is that he tends to get overly ambitious with his passes to cutters, leading to a spike in turnover rate.

MEM (4-9)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   WAS (4-7)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
randolph,zach        84%  21%  1.12    0 20.1   hinrich,kirk         85%  18%  1.51  + 2 37.4
gay,rudy             80%  18%  0.90  - 7 19.0   arenas,gilbert       82%  29%  1.02  +12 20.6
gasol,marc           76%  14%  1.61  - 9 14.0   blatche,andray       80%  26%  0.77  +10 15.1
conley,mike          61%  26%  1.01  - 4 12.7   mcgee,javale         80%   8%  1.97  + 7 10.9
allen,tony           26%  27%  1.22  + 7 12.1   thornton,al          81%  12%  0.60  + 5  8.9
vasquez,greivis      24%  27%  0.70  + 2  6.4   young,nick           44%  21%  0.50  - 8  3.1
arthur,darrell       28%  23%  0.83  + 1  4.8   booker,trevor        20%  34%  0.39  - 7  2.4
thabeet,hasheem      12%  23%  1.40  + 2  2.7   armb,hilton     20%  13%  1.19  - 4  2.1
mayo,o.j.            61%  15%  0.38  -12  2.2   martin,cartier        8%  10%  0.08  - 2  0.1
henry,xavier         22%  20%  0.46  + 5  1.7   hudson,lester         0%   -%  0.00    0  0.0
young,sam            20%   7%  0.52  + 4  1.1   ndiaye,hamady (DNP)
law,acie              6%  14%  0.32  - 4  0.2   seraphin,kevin (DNP)
PACE: 88.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 88.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
grizzlies,memphis   97.2 .463  .359 .215 .090   wizards,washington 100.6 .399  .372 .181 .174

---

HEAT 95, BOBCATS 87 (box): The Heat nearly blew a 21-point lead, but pulled away in the final minutes. Stephen Jackson (see above) dominated his matchup with a hobbled Dwyane Wade, but Gerald Wallace was dominated by LeBron James and fouled out. The Heat outscored the Bobcats 13-0 in fastbreak points.

CHA (4-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   MIA (8-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
jackson,stephen      86%  32%  1.05  - 7 39.3   james,lebron         82%  39%  0.99  + 4 40.3
livingston,shaun     50%  22%  0.96  - 6 14.5   bosh,chris           79%  27%  1.03  +15 21.0
diaw,boris           86%  14%  1.02  - 5  9.0   jones,james          57%   9%  1.54  + 5 10.9
thomas,tyrus         39%  22%  0.79  + 2  7.7   arroyo,carlos        33%  19%  1.26  + 5 10.3
mohammed,nazr        39%  30%  0.91  - 6  6.4   haslem,udonis        67%   9%  1.30  + 7  8.8
brown,derrick        44%   7%  2.09  - 5  5.6   wade,dwyane          75%  22%  0.73  + 7  7.6
wallace,gerald       67%  21%  0.51  + 1  5.4   ilgauskas,zydrunas   40%  11%  2.14  - 1  6.2
brown,kwame          22%   8%  1.66  - 4  4.2   chalmers,mario       13%   6%  0.99  + 4  0.4
augustin,d.j.        51%   9%  1.28  - 2  3.6   anthony,joel         14%  12%  0.07  - 5  0.1
collins,sherron       8%  13%  0.70  - 1  1.0   house,eddie          40%   9%  0.00  - 1  0.0
carroll,matt          8%  13%  0.00  - 7  0.0   howard,juwan (DNP)
diop,desagana (DNP)                             stackhouse,jerry (DNP)
PACE: 90.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 90.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
bobcats,charlotte   96.6 .493  .056 .167 .108   heat,miami         105.5 .456  .217 .133 .132

---

LAKERS 112, TIMBERWOLVES 95 (box): The Lakers won and it wasn't close, but let's talk about the Timberwolves, who are emerging as one of my favorite teams to write about. Michael Beasley had another solid outing. His frontcourt mates Darko Milicic and Kevin Love gave him varying degrees of assistance. As usual. One had 23 points, 16 rebounds, five assists, six blocks and two steals. The other had zero points and seven rebounds. Of course the one with the big game was ... Darko. What?! Milicic more than doubled his previous season-high GR. His rebound and assist totals led the Timberwolves. This may be my favorite stat line of the season to date.

LAL (11-2)          PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   MIN (4-10)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
bryant,kobe          65%  48%  0.68  + 8 26.2   beasley,michael      81%  34%  0.84  -14 27.1
odom,lamar           82%  13%  1.40  +26 21.9   milicic,darko        83%  22%  1.40  -21 25.0
barnes,matt          50%  16%  3.29  +27 16.1   ridnour,luke         38%  20%  1.25  -17  7.6
fisher,derek         55%   8%  2.57  + 8 12.8   tolliver,anthony     32%  17%  1.80  + 9  5.8
gasol,pau            79%  17%  1.36  +19 11.4   johnson,wesley       53%  15%  0.75  - 8  5.6
brown,shannon        35%  22%  1.17  + 9  6.6   telfair,sebastia     54%  16%  0.97  - 8  5.4
artest,ron           55%  15%  0.80  - 3  5.9   gaines,sundiata       8%  44%  1.11  + 8  5.3
blake,steve          38%   8%  1.01  +17  4.7   brewer,corey         44%  14%  0.61  -25  5.1
caracter,derrick     21%  38%  0.50  - 2  4.6   ellington,wayne       8%   9%  4.20  + 8  4.1
ebanks,devin          7%  13%  2.27  - 8  2.8   love,kevin           71%   9%  0.59  -27  3.9
vujacic,sasha         7%  13%  0.45  - 8  0.3   koufos,kosta         14%  26%  0.37  + 5  1.0
walton,luke           7%  14%  0.00  - 8  0.0   hayward,lazar        14%  18%  0.22  + 5  0.3
PACE: 98.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 98.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
lakers,losangeles  113.4 .529  .184 .152 .116   timberwolves,minn   96.2 .429  .291 .172 .094

---

HORNETS 108, CAVALIERS 101 (box): David West pumped in 34 points and led the Hornets 44-32 end on point sin the paint. This was the first time this season that New Orleans gave up more than 100 points, but their 105.1 Defensive Rating was unremarkable. This was easily the fastest-paced Hornets game of the season. It was just one of those things--neither of these teams has played particularly fast this season.

CLE (6-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   NWO (9-2)            PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
jamison,antawn       58%  25%  1.35  + 7 27.3   paul,chris           70%  17%  1.75  + 5 30.9
varejao,anderson     65%  20%  0.88  - 6 15.6   west,david           67%  35%  1.25  + 4 26.0
gibson,daniel        61%  14%  1.28  +11 11.4   belinelli,marco      66%  21%  1.42  + 3 17.6
sessions,ramon       55%  23%  1.18  + 7 10.0   ariza,trevor         75%  17%  0.61  + 3  9.8
graham,joey          40%  19%  1.19  - 2  8.4   green,willie         46%  17%  0.91  - 2  8.9
williams,maurice     45%  28%  0.58  -14  6.5   bayless,jerryd       30%  19%  1.29  + 2  5.7
hollins,ryan         35%  19%  0.62  - 1  5.7   okafor,emeka         60%   8%  1.27  + 2  4.9
hickson,j.j.         40%  24%  0.99  -13  5.6   smith,jason          28%  23%  0.36  + 8  3.2
parker,anthony       51%  10%  1.55  -14  5.3   stojakovic,peja      27%  28%  0.56  - 2  2.7
moon,jamario         39%  10%  0.99  -15  5.3   pondexter,quincy     27%   8%  1.36  + 6  2.4
williams,jawad       11%  33%  1.32  + 5  4.0   ilungambenga,didier   4%  27%  0.46  + 6  0.4
powe,leon (DNP)                                 mensahbonsu,pops (DNP)
PACE: 96.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 96.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
cavaliers,cleve    105.1 .401  .286 .135 .156   hornets,neworleans 112.4 .500  .170 .104 .137

---

SPURS 94, JAZZ 82 (box): Once upon a time, the Jazz had as dominant a home advantage as any team in the league. Friday's loss to San Antonio dropped Utah to 3-3 at Energy Solutions Arena. (The road story is way different, but we'll get to that a little later.) The Spurs held Utah to 5-of-13 shooting in the fourth quarter, outscoring the Jazz 24-14 in the period to secure the win. This start by San Antonio merits close examination. Instead of mixing and matching his top players in different units as in the past, Gregg Popovich has his five best players in the first unit and he's letting them play big minutes for the most part. Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, a rejuvinated Richard Jefferson and DeJuan Blair looks like a heckuva lineup on paper. It's been even better on the court, and Blair is off to a relatively slow start.

SAS (9-1)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   UTA (8-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
duncan,tim           69%  32%  1.05  +18 26.2   kirilenko,andrei     73%  23%  0.84  -17 19.0
parker,tony          73%  26%  1.43  +21 23.7   miles,c.j.           46%  24%  1.09  + 5 18.8
blair,dejuan         58%  17%  1.24  +21 16.5   williams,deron       79%  33%  0.91  -10 17.3
ginobili,manu        73%  23%  1.00  + 7 14.8   bell,raja            72%  12%  1.00  -14 11.0
jefferson,richard    71%  16%  1.01  +18  9.8   millsap,paul         81%  17%  0.92  -12  9.1
mcdyess,antonio      35%  11%  1.42  - 5  7.8   elson,francisco      37%   7%  1.49  + 6  6.5
hill,george          56%  10%  1.35  - 4  5.8   jefferson,al         60%  16%  0.92  -18  6.2
neal,gary            29%  11%  0.78  - 6  1.8   price,ronnie         28%  26%  0.56  + 2  5.2
bonner,matt          36%  14%  0.16  -10  0.7   watson,earl          21%   3%  0.59  - 2  0.5
green,danny (DNP)                               fesenko,kyrylo        3%  35%  0.00    0  0.0
quinn,chris (DNP)                               evans,jeremy (DNP)
splitter,tiago (DNP)                            hayward,gordon (DNP)
PACE: 87.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 87.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
spurs,sanantonio   107.2 .470  .381 .148 .120   jazz,utah           93.5 .439  .143 .160 .115

---

BULLS 88, MAVERICKS 83 (box): This was the Bulls' first win this season in a game that NBAPET had flagged them as an underdog, so this has to rate as Chicago's signature win so far this season. That's saying something for a team that has crawled into fourth in our current power ratings. Chicago has the league's 8th-best point differential against the sixth-toughest schedule. The game against Dallas could have gone either way. It was about even with six minutes to go, but Chicago's overwhelming advantage on the boards finally proved too much for Dallas to overcome. Chicago grabbed 20-of-45 offensive rebound chances and held a 25-8 edge in second-chance points. Taj Gibson (18 boards, eight offensive) and Joakim Noah (17 boards, five offensive) outrebounded the Mavericks by themselves. Gibson chased down several key rebounds down the stretch, making up for his inability to chase Dirk Nowitzki off his spots on the perimeter. Nowitzki had 36 points, but just six in the final quarter.

CHI (7-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   DAL (7-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
rose,derrick         85%  30%  1.04  + 6 35.4   nowitzki,dirk        87%  39%  1.17  + 2 25.8
watson,c.j.          37%  37%  1.05  + 4 18.8   terry,jason          78%  23%  0.91  + 2 21.9
noah,joakim          85%  10%  1.94  + 9 14.1   butler,caron         66%  24%  0.80  + 6 19.1
korver,kyle          55%  24%  1.17  +10 13.7   haywood,brendan      36%  13%  1.47  -11 11.1
gibson,taj           60%  25%  1.44  - 1 12.0   chandler,tyson       59%   9%  1.64  + 2  8.7
deng,luol            75%  18%  0.70  - 1  8.3   kidd,jason           70%   4%  2.11  + 5  6.8
brewer,ronnie        43%   6%  1.80  + 6  5.3   marion,shawn         51%  16%  1.05  -16  6.1
asik,omer            21%   6%  1.09  + 2  0.9   barea,jose           40%  21%  0.47  -11  2.6
bogans,keith         39%  10%  0.00  -10  0.0   stevenson,deshawn    13%   7%  0.00  - 4  0.0
johnson,james (DNP)                             cardinal,brian (DNP)
scalabrine,brian (DNP)                          jones,dominique (DNP)
thomas,kurt (DNP)                               mahinmi,ian (DNP)
PACE: 81.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 81.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
bulls,chicago      108.4 .480  .444 .222 .125   mavericks,dallas   102.2 .433  .188 .99 .136

---

KINGS 86, NETS 81 (box): The Kings posted their best Defensive Rating of the season in their slowest-paced game, a combination which helped Sacramento snap a six-game losing streak. Nevertheless, Paul Westphal seems to have completely lost his feel for what his rotation should be. Jason Thompson can't get on the court, but Luther Head is starting and playing big minutes. Me no likey.

NJN (4-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   SAC (4-7)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
humphries,kris       66%  19%  1.62  + 3 20.8   evans,tyreke         84%  34%  0.78  - 2 18.9
morrow,anthony       84%  18%  1.13  + 2 17.2   cousins,demarcus     61%  17%  1.09    0 18.3
harris,devin         69%  34%  0.69  -10 16.6   head,luther          65%   6%  3.25  +10 16.8
outlaw,travis        81%  18%  1.06  + 1 16.2   udrih,beno           45%  19%  1.74  + 1 14.8
lopez,brook          79%  15%  0.89  - 6 12.0   landry,carl          75%  24%  0.84  - 3 10.6
farmar,jordan        43%  25%  0.93  - 5  6.9   greene,donte         72%  16%  0.91  +10 10.5
favors,derrick       34%  16%  0.61  - 8  5.3   dalembert,samuel     40%  13%  0.95  + 4  7.9
graham,stephen       18%   9%  2.59  - 6  4.3   garcia,francisco     35%  19%  1.29  + 1  6.6
petro,johan          20%   9%  0.45  + 2  0.9   thompson,jason       21%  16%  1.07  + 4  2.6
ross,quinton          6%  16%  0.39  + 2  0.4   jackson,darnell       1%  82%  0.00    0  0.0
smith,joe (DNP)                                 casspi,omri (DNP)
uzoh,ben (DNP)                                  wright,antoine (DNP)
PACE: 80.4          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 80.4          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
nets,newjersey     100.8 .471  .325 .211 .104   kings,sacramento   107.0 .455  .409 .199 .126

---

KNICKS 125, WARRIORS 119 (box): The Warriors have been getting pounded on the boards since David Lee went down, though that wasn't really what sunk them against the Knicks. This was a Nelliesque showing on the defensive end for the Warriors, who showed some serious signs of regression in that area over the weekend. Raymond Felton scored 35 points on 17 shots and handed out 11 assists. That's some wicked production. Amar'e Stoudemire added 26 points on 12 shots.

NYK (5-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   GSW (7-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
felton,raymond       89%  26%  1.75  + 4 37.3   ellis,monta          95%  36%  1.14  + 2 49.1
gallinari,danilo     68%  24%  1.24  - 5 25.2   curry,stephen        88%  31%  1.11  - 3 26.2
stoudemire,amare     81%  23%  1.43  + 2 20.6   wright,dorell        92%  14%  1.26  - 4 15.1
chandler,wilson      55%  25%  0.95  +12 17.9   williams,reggie      51%  17%  1.92    0 14.7
turiaf,ronny         72%   8%  2.17  + 4 11.7   biedrins,andris      62%   6%  2.63  + 8  9.4
fields,landry        58%  16%  1.05  - 1  8.5   radmanovic,vladimir  36%  17%  1.30  - 4  8.3
douglas,toney        41%  18%  0.77  + 5  6.2   adrien,jeff          29%  11%  0.95  -10  4.0
walker,bill          35%  11%  1.82  + 9  5.7   gadzuric,dan         28%   4%  0.00  - 9  0.0
mason,roger (DNP)                               carney,rodney (DNP)
mozgov,timofey (DNP)                            bell,charlie (DNP)
randolph,anthony (DNP)                          lin,jeremy (DNP)
rautins,andy (DNP)                              wright,brandan (DNP)
PACE: 93.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 93.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
knicks,newyork     133.2 .636  .343 .192 .150   warriors,goldenst  126.8 .588  .250 .107 .080

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SATURDAY'S BOX SCORES & RECAPS

NOTE: Glossary is at bottom of page.

BOBCATS 123, SUNS 105 (box): The Suns have gotten drilled with Steve Nash out of the lineup, but his plus-minus numbers have actually been way down this season, so you can't chalk it all up to that. Perhaps what's really hurting the Suns is that Nash's absence removes Goran Dragic from the second unit. Dragic has been fine and the starters have mostly held their own, or at least did on Friday, but the reserves got hammered. As mentioned in the intro, Stephen Jackson record the Bobcats' first-ever triple-double in the game.

PHX (6-7)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   CHA (5-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
dragic,goran         80%  17%  1.49  -11 22.5   jackson,stephen      77%  19%  2.02  + 9 41.2
hill,grant           78%  30%  0.81  -11 20.3   diaw,boris           73%  23%  1.54  +13 18.8
frye,channing        83%   9%  1.37  -13 19.9   augustin,d.j.        68%  16%  1.51  +14 15.8
turkoglu,hedo        67%  27%  0.95  -20 14.0   carroll,matt         26%  28%  1.50  +13 13.3
warrick,hakim        35%  28%  1.04  - 7 10.6   thomas,tyrus         61%  25%  1.15  +14 11.5
richardson,jason     64%  22%  0.83  -13  9.7   wallace,gerald       49%  30%  0.80  - 2  9.4
childress,josh       46%   9%  1.58  - 3  8.0   brown,derrick        47%  13%  1.34  +14  7.9
clark,earl           21%   7%  1.40  - 7  2.6   livingston,shaun     38%   8%  1.53  + 3  4.5
dudley,jared         26%  20%  0.59  - 5  2.5   mcguire,dominic      37%  11%  0.55  +13  3.5
barron,earl (DNP)                               mohammed,nazr        22%  16%  0.68  - 1  2.6
nash,steve (DNP)                                collins,sherron       2%  48%  0.40    0  0.4
siler,garret (DNP)                              diop,desagana (DNP)
PACE: 95.3          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 95.3          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
suns,phoenix       110.2 .493  .175 .136 .180   bobcats,charlotte  129.1 .626  .229 .147 .088

---

MAGIC 90, PACERS 86 (box): Roy Hibbert was again productive for Indiana, but was literally abused by Dwight Howard in the pivot. Howard shot 19 free throws and Hibbert's time was limited to 28:33 by foul trouble. Hibbert was productive while on the floor--19 points and 12 rebounds-- but Howard controlled Hibbert in the paint and even decked Hibbert with an elbow in the first half, drawing a technical. Hibbert has improved, perhaps as much as any player in the league, but Howard isn't about to treat him as an equal any time soon. That matchup aside, the Pacers actually were the superior inside team in the game, with a 16-5 edge in offensive boards, leading to a 24-6 advantage in second-chance points. It's really what kept the Pacers in the game.

ORL (9-3)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   IND (5-6)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
howard,dwight        78%  32%  0.94  - 1 18.9   dunleavy jr.,mike    65%  18%  1.03  - 3 16.4
bass,brandon         40%  28%  0.84  - 2 14.9   hibbert,roy          59%  30%  1.07  - 6 16.3
lewis,rashard        72%  18%  1.60  + 2 14.6   rush,brandon         60%  18%  1.15  + 4 16.2
nelson,jameer        64%  26%  0.92  + 1 13.7   ford,t.j.            74%  19%  1.04  - 1 14.6
richardson,quentin   36%  16%  1.51  +12 12.2   granger,danny        76%  25%  0.75  - 9  9.2
carter,vince         66%  23%  0.65  + 8 10.7   foster,jeff          40%   9%  1.43  + 2  7.5
duhon,chris          36%   7%  1.61  + 3  7.0   posey,james          45%  20%  0.54  - 1  6.5
pietrus,mickael      52%   7%  1.10  - 4  6.1   mcroberts,josh       32%  16%  1.53  - 5  4.6
redick,j.j.          34%  12%  0.56  - 4  2.0   price,a.j.           26%  16%  1.17  - 3  4.1
gortat,marcin        21%   5%  0.49  + 5  0.5   hansbrough,tyler     24%   9%  0.34  + 2  0.6
anderson,ryan (DNP)                             george,paul (DNP)
williams,jason (DNP)                            jones,solomon (DNP)
PACE: 89.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 89.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
magic,orlando      100.4 .514  .125 .179 .137   pacers,indiana      96.0 .421  .302 .145 .093

---

MAVERICKS 98, HAWKS 93 (box): Dallas' 38-19 edge in bench points offset Al Horford's 20 points and 20 rebounds as the Hawks dropped their fifth game out of their last seven. Jamal Crawford went 2-of-10 from the floor and Atlanta wouldn't have gotten any bench production at all if Crawford's namesake, the rookie Jordan, hadn't come off the bench for 10 second-half points, nearly shooting the Hawks back into the game. As an aside, Atlanta announcer and NBA Hall of Famer Dominique Wilkins was effusive in his praise for Dirk Nowitzki (against whom he actually played once--Wilkins' last year and Nowitzki's first) but unless I was hearing things, he kept calling him "Derek." Was I hearing things?

DAL (8-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   ATL (8-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
stevenson,deshawn    38%  14%  2.67  - 3 19.9   horford,al           77%  15%  2.21  + 7 26.6
terry,jason          60%  24%  1.25  - 5 19.3   smith,josh           74%  29%  1.14  - 2 26.2
butler,caron         48%  28%  0.92  + 9 15.0   bibby,mike           51%  22%  1.51  + 4 19.1
nowitzki,dirk        81%  34%  0.77  + 6 14.2   crawford,jamal       70%  26%  0.70  - 1 10.8
barea,jose           41%  18%  1.10  +15 11.9   johnson,joe          82%  21%  0.77    0  8.5
haywood,brendan      41%  10%  1.46  + 7  9.2   crawford,jordan      25%  29%  1.39  + 7  7.9
marion,shawn         65%  17%  1.25  + 3  8.6   williams,marvin      55%  12%  0.93  -20  4.7
kidd,jason           67%   9%  2.01  - 3  7.4   evans,maurice        35%   7%  0.73  - 3  1.8
chandler,tyson       59%  14%  0.99  - 4  5.9   pachulia,zaza        23%   3%  0.09  -12  0.0
cardinal,brian (DNP)                            teague,jeff           8%  12%  0.00  - 5  0.0
jones,dominique (DNP)                           collins,jason (DNP)
mahinmi,ian (DNP)                               powell,josh (DNP)
PACE: 88.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 88.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
mavericks,dallas   111.3 .512  .250 .148 .080   hawks,atlanta      105.6 .525  .189 .148 .050

---

GRIZZLIES 97, HEAT 95 (box): Rudy Gay sank a fadeaway from the elbow at the buzzer in Memphis' most spirited game of the season. The loss dropped Miami to 0-4 in games decided by five points or less. How soon till the "Heat need a clear-cut closer" stories start? Have they already? Do they need one? Dwyane Wade sat this one out, but Eddie House came off the bench to hit six three-pointers for the Heat. Memphis coach Lionel Hollins juggled his lineup, with rookie Xavier Henry starting for O.J. Mayo (and going 1-of-9 from the floor) and Darrell Arthur starting for Zach Randolph. Mayo scored just two points on 1-of-7 shooting in his reserve role, but Randolph had 21 points and 13 rebounds (six offensive) in 27 minutes off the bench. Randolph's work keeping the ball alive off the offensive glass was really the difference down the stretch. Memphis had a 23-7 edge in second-chance points in the game. Memphis snapped a five-game skid, so Hollins' Jayhawk strategy may persist.

MIA (8-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   MEM (5-9)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
house,eddie          63%  22%  1.78  + 4 37.0   randolph,zach        57%  34%  1.18  - 4 27.8
james,lebron         88%  38%  1.07  - 1 35.4   gasol,marc           71%  13%  1.34  + 3 17.2
bosh,chris           81%  22%  1.12    0 14.0   conley,mike          75%  18%  1.46  + 5 16.2
ilgauskas,zydrunas   64%  13%  0.84  - 5  6.3   young,sam            27%  25%  1.37  + 2 13.4
arroyo,carlos        44%  11%  1.53  - 5  6.1   gay,rudy             73%  26%  0.86    0 12.9
chalmers,mario       24%   3%  3.66  - 7  4.4   arthur,darrell       60%  15%  1.53  + 9 11.9
howard,juwan         16%  12%  0.74    0  2.3   henry,xavier         55%  18%  0.75  + 5 11.0
jones,james          41%  19%  0.44  + 6  2.2   vasquez,greivis      25%   5%  1.82  - 3  2.5
haslem,udonis        32%  13%  0.85  + 1  2.2   mayo,o.j.            45%  19%  0.32  - 3  1.7
stackhouse,jerry     41%   8%  0.63  - 3  2.1   thabeet,hasheem      12%   5%  0.10  - 4  0.0
magloire,jamaal       7%  17%  0.30    0  0.3   allen,tony (DNP)
anthony,joel (DNP)                              law,acie (DNP)
PACE: 84.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 84.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
heat,miami         112.4 .544  .154 .095 .062   grizzlies,memphis  114.7 .481  .350 .142 .140

---

THUNDER 82, BUCKS 81 (box): Brandon Jennings missed a late three and Drew Gooden's putback left the Bucks a point short. They fouled Eric Maynor on the subsequent inbound pass, but were out of timeouts. With :00.6 left, Maynor missed both free throws and Andrew Bogut's full-court heave was off the mark. Thus Oklahoma City won its second straight on the road without Kevin Durant. Scott Skiles tightened his rotation, but still couldn't find any offensive flow. The Bucks shot 37.2 percent from the floor, hit 3-of-18 threes and assisted on just 11 of 29 made field goals.

OKC (9-4)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   MIL (5-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
harden,james         83%  21%  1.62  + 7 37.6   gooden,drew          86%  22%  0.97  - 4 25.0
westbrook,russell    70%  36%  0.76  - 8 15.4   jennings,brandon     88%  34%  0.86  + 5 24.7
maynor,eric          43%  31%  1.12  + 3 12.3   ilyasova,ersan       52%  21%  0.80  + 1 12.2
sefolosha,thabo      68%  17%  0.88  + 9  8.6   bogut,andrew         62%  16%  0.97  + 1 11.5
collison,nick        72%  13%  0.66    0  5.2   salmons,john         74%  15%  0.79  - 6  5.4
ibaka,serge          43%  13%  0.79  - 1  4.0   mbahamoute,luc       71%   7%  1.64  - 1  4.7
krstic,nenad         39%  13%  0.68  + 5  3.6   dooling,keyon        38%  14%  0.63  - 1  4.6
ivey,royal           37%   7%  0.96  -12  3.1   maggette,corey       30%  22%  0.67    0  3.5
white,d.j.           45%  15%  0.49  + 2  3.0   boykins,earl (DNP)
cook,daequan (DNP)                              brockman,jon (DNP)
mullens,byron (DNP)                             delfino,carlos (DNP)
peterson,morris (DNP)                           sanders,larry (DNP)
PACE: 88.3          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 88.3          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
thunder,oklacity    92.9 .425  .159 .159 .125   bucks,milwaukee     91.8 .391  .265 .181 .135

---

SPURS 116, CAVALIERS 92 (box): The Spurs rolled on in this rematch of the 2007 NBA Finals. The game marked a coming-out party of sorts for Spurs rookie Tiago Splitter, who scored 18 points, 11 more than his previous season high. His GR (19.8) drawfed his previous best (5.3). The Spurs contined to play great offense, perhaps best evidenced by their 32 assists on 43 made field goals.

CLE (5-7)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   SAS (11-1)          PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
williams,maurice     62%  29%  1.24  -10 19.5   ginobili,manu        55%  15%  2.05  +23 22.7
gibson,daniel        60%  18%  1.54  -17 18.8   splitter,tiago       55%  25%  1.28  +11 19.8
jamison,antawn       48%  28%  0.75  -14 10.0   parker,tony          59%  28%  1.37  +16 14.2
varejao,anderson     62%  20%  0.77  -12  9.8   bonner,matt          53%  16%  1.57  +17 12.7
moon,jamario         46%   9%  2.08  - 5  8.9   blair,dejuan         51%  19%  0.98  + 6 12.6
sessions,ramon       38%  14%  0.93  -14  6.6   hill,george          59%  11%  1.42  +11 12.0
graham,joey          42%  17%  0.72  -17  6.1   jefferson,richard    53%  14%  1.91  + 6  8.5
powe,leon            12%  35%  1.22  - 2  6.0   neal,gary            47%  21%  1.13  +10  8.1
hickson,j.j.         47%  24%  0.50  -14  5.7   duncan,tim           36%  31%  0.91  +11  8.0
williams,jawad       12%  24%  0.98  - 2  3.3   green,danny          18%  27%  1.30  + 7  7.3
parker,anthony       45%   9%  0.62  - 3  3.1   quinn,chris          12%   7%  1.55  + 2  0.8
hollins,ryan         26%  13%  0.98  -10  2.8   mcdyess,antonio (DNP)
PACE: 91.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 91.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
cavaliers,cleve    100.6 .506  .220 .186 .087   spurs,sanantonio   126.8 .605  .171 .109 .106

---

NUGGETS 107, NETS 103 (box): The Nuggets eked by in an odd game in which Chauncey Billups took just three shots in 33 minutes. Carmelo Anthony carried the bulk of the offensive load, but the Nuggets' advantage with its second unit on the floor was really the difference in the game. Gary Forbes posted Denver's best plus-minus but instead of it coming at J.R. Smith's expense, the latter played well in his most extended action in a week and a half.

NJN (4-9)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   DEN (7-6)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
favors,derrick       52%  15%  1.63  - 5 21.1   anthony,carmelo      75%  39%  0.94  - 4 30.8
morrow,anthony       68%  16%  1.18  + 7 18.5   smith,j.r.           39%  26%  1.15  + 5 17.9
humphries,kris       40%  21%  1.27  - 1 17.4   billups,chauncey     69%  13%  1.39  + 3 17.9
harris,devin         62%  18%  1.08    0 14.8   hilario,nenê         69%  25%  1.14  + 1 16.4
lopez,brook          77%  29%  0.88  + 4 13.9   lawson,ty            43%  18%  2.12  + 3 12.1
farmar,jordan        56%  21%  1.46  - 6 12.0   forbes,gary          23%   7%  2.47  +10  6.5
outlaw,travis        90%  15%  1.01  + 3 11.2   afflalo,arron        59%   9%  1.32  - 3  6.2
petro,johan          23%  24%  0.82  - 8  3.2   ely,melvin           35%  15%  1.56  - 1  5.6
williams,terrence    17%  26%  0.48  - 7  1.6   harrington,al        56%  13%  0.70  + 9  3.4
graham,stephen       16%  10%  0.03  - 7  0.1   williams,shelden     33%  14%  0.42  - 3  1.3
smith,joe (DNP)                                 balkman,renaldo (DNP)
uzoh,ben (DNP)                                  carter,anthony (DNP)
PACE: 90.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 90.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
nets,newjersey     113.7 .438  .283 .077 .151   nuggets,denver     118.1 .519  .220 .077 .155

---

JAZZ 103, TRAIL BLAZERS 94 (box): After dropping a pair of games at home, Utah re-discovered its winning template: the Jazz fell behind by double-digits on the road, then roared from behind with a huge fourth quarter. C.J. Miles caught fire in the final period, scoring 17 points and hitting all five of his shots from the floor, all of which were threes. Utah outscored Portland 38-20 in the fourth and improved to 6-2 on the road this season.

UTA (9-5)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   POR (8-6)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
miles,c.j.           62%  29%  1.43  + 8 33.1   miller,andre         71%  27%  1.08  -10 26.0
jefferson,al         86%  17%  1.42  +15 26.6   aldridge,lamarcus    83%  33%  0.86  - 2 25.6
kirilenko,andrei     69%  17%  1.15  +16 13.4   batum,nicolas        72%  19%  0.94    0 12.4
williams,deron       77%  26%  0.90  - 3 12.4   matthews,wesley      69%  22%  0.91  -10 11.0
millsap,paul         64%  23%  0.96  + 3  9.0   fernandez,rudy       60%  16%  1.33  - 8  9.4
bell,raja            60%  15%  1.00  - 3  8.1   johnson,armon        29%  19%  1.42  + 1  6.1
watson,earl          32%   1%  7.79  +12  3.7   cunningham,dante     45%  15%  0.55  - 2  5.8
price,ronnie         27%  17%  0.98  + 7  3.0   camby,marcus         72%   1%  6.46  -12  5.3
elson,francisco      18%  16%  0.91  - 8  1.9   babbitt,luke          1%   -%  0.00  - 2  0.0
hayward,gordon        4%  23%  0.00  - 2  0.0   marks,sean (DNP)
evans,jeremy (DNP)                              mills,patrick (DNP)
fesenko,kyrylo (DNP)                            roy,brandon (DNP)
PACE: 92.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 92.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
jazz,utah          111.2 .547  .200 .205 .100   trailblazers,port  101.5 .402  .429 .194 .105

---

KNICKS 124, CLIPPERS 115 (box): Danilo Gallinari scored 31 points on 11 shots and went 13-of-13 from the free throw line. The Knicks were 43-of-51 from the line as a team, offsetting a 44-point onslaught of whirling-dervish dunks from Clippers rookie Blake Griffin. Amar'e Stoudemire--Griffin's box score counterpart--had 39 points and 11 boards. The counterpart scores are why despite huge counting numbers, neither Griffin or Stoudemire led his respective team in GR. The Knicks won their third straight against the lesser lights of the Pacific coast, while the Clipper dropped their ninth in a row. Gallinari's foul-drawing rate is more than double what it was last year and is also more than twice the league average. He's becoming much more than a three-point shooting big man. Well, he was anyway, but it's become even more true of late. He's 35-of-36 from the line over his last three games.

NYK (6-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   LAC (1-13)          PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
gallinari,danilo     88%  18%  1.82  +12 34.7   gordon,eric          81%  26%  0.97  + 4 33.6
felton,raymond       86%  21%  1.33  +18 32.4   griffin,blake        81%  44%  1.16  -13 31.4
stoudemire,amare     83%  38%  1.04  + 5 22.2   butler,rasual        43%   5%  3.37  + 1 13.1
chandler,wilson      40%  22%  0.83  + 2 11.6   foye,randy           40%  28%  1.04  + 1  8.9
douglas,toney        45%  20%  1.55  - 9  9.6   cook,brian           45%  13%  1.48    0  8.9
fields,landry        63%  11%  1.06  +13  8.3   bledsoe,eric         49%  16%  0.87  -12  6.9
turiaf,ronny         36%   8%  1.19  - 1  5.7   gomes,ryan           79%   8%  1.26  -13  6.1
mozgov,timofey       30%  13%  0.81  + 8  3.3   jordan,deandre       53%   7%  1.12  - 5  6.1
walker,bill          29%   4%  0.00  - 3  0.0   warren,willie        19%  19%  0.97  - 2  3.6
mason,roger (DNP)                               aminu,alfarouq       10%   9%  0.00  - 6  0.0
randolph,anthony (DNP)                          collins,jarron (DNP)
rautins,andy (DNP)                              smith,craig (DNP)
PACE: 97.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 97.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
knicks,newyork     127.8 .533  .268 .113 .231   clippers,losangele 118.5 .589  .276 .206 .131

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SUNDAY'S BOX SCORES & RECAPS

NOTE: Glossary is at bottom of page.

RAPTORS 102, CELTICS 101 (box): Paul Pierce missed a fadeaway at the buzzer, preserving Toronto's win. The Celtics played without Rajon Rondo, who sat out because of the hamstring injury he suffered against the Thunder on Friday. The Celtics' offense plugged along fine without him, but Boston's Defensive rating was its second-worst of the season. It wasn't necessarily Rondo--Jose Calderon had just 11 inefficient points and two assists from the point guard position for Toronto--but the Celtics forced its second-lowest turnover percentage of the season without the disruptive guard in the lineup.

BOS (9-3)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   TOR (4-9)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
allen,ray            85%  23%  1.06  + 3 29.8   bargnani,andrea      82%  36%  0.81  + 6 29.8
robinson,nate        73%  23%  1.30  +20 29.1   evans,reggie         67%  11%  1.61  -18 16.8
pierce,paul          75%  22%  1.13  +14 21.3   johnson,amir         51%  16%  2.00  +14 16.2
garnett,kevin        74%  20%  0.86  +15  8.3   weems,sonny          74%  29%  0.66  - 2 16.1
davis,glen           62%  18%  0.95  -11  7.1   barbosa,leandro      44%  21%  1.49  +21 14.6
o'neal,shaquille     41%  26%  0.67  +11  6.1   calderon,jose        69%  18%  0.84  -13  9.5
daniels,marquis      30%  12%  0.93  -19  5.4   derozan,demar        69%  12%  0.90  -19  7.4
west,delonte         38%   6%  1.75  -19  4.1   kleiza,linas         44%   2%  1.30  +16  2.1
erden,semih          22%   8%  0.09  -19  0.2   davis,ed (DNP)
bradley,avery (DNP)                             dorsey,joey (DNP)
harangody,luke (DNP)                            wright,julian (DNP)
wafer,von (DNP)                                 stojakovic,peja (DNP)
PACE: 90.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 90.7          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
celtics,boston     111.4 .514  .162 .143 .184   raptors,toronto    112.5 .474  .250 .121 .189

---

PISTONS 115, WIZARDS 110, OT (box): Andray Blatche missed a good look at a three off a kick-out from Gilbert Arenas at the buzzer of regulation, then Rip Hamilton caught fire in the overtime period for Detroit. Hamilton scored 12 points in the extra session on 5-of-6 shooting, with the only miss coming on his last attempt. Hamilton scored 27 points overall, matching his season high. JaVale McGee, whom I highlighted earlier, had 20 points and 16 rebounds (eight offensive) for Washington.

WAS (4-7)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   DET (4-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
arenas,gilbert       81%  27%  1.19  + 3 29.6   hamilton,richard     62%  37%  1.00  +16 23.9
mcgee,javale         80%  19%  1.30  + 1 17.7   villanueva,charlie   69%  24%  1.46  + 3 23.2
blatche,andray       83%  28%  0.78  -12 16.5   stuckey,rodney       68%  19%  1.27  +14 15.5
young,nick           58%  16%  1.51    0 16.1   bynum,will           32%  15%  1.77  - 9 14.7
hinrich,kirk         74%  13%  1.38  -14 10.8   prince,tayshaun      67%  19%  0.88  +14 12.8
thornton,al          59%  16%  0.97  - 6 10.7   maxiell,jason        69%  12%  1.34  +10 12.2
martin,cartier       28%  22%  1.37  + 5  9.9   gordon,ben           38%  22%  1.18  - 9  8.9
armb,hilton     20%   5%  1.25  - 6  2.3   wallace,ben          39%   6%  2.40  + 6  4.6
booker,trevor        17%   8%  1.90  + 7  2.2   mcgrady,tracy        33%  17%  0.83  - 9  3.5
hudson,lester         0%   -%  0.00  - 3  0.0   monroe,greg          23%   9%  0.47  -11  1.8
seraphin,kevin (DNP)   daye,austin (DNP)
wall,john (DNP)   wilcox,chris (DNP)
PACE: 95.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 95.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
wizards,washington 115.8 .567  .275 .158 .069   pistons,detroit    121.1 .527  .333 .95 .130

---

HORNETS 75, KINGS 71 (box): Good defense or bad offense? Given Sacramento's defensive track record this season, I'll opt for the latter in this one. New Orleans survived despite shooting 32 percent from the field, mostly thanks to 23 points off 22 Sacramento turnovers. At least the Kings shared their misfortune--six players committed three or more miscues.

NWO (10-1)          PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   SAC (4-8)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
west,david           77%  24%  0.87  +12 19.7   evans,tyreke         76%  20%  0.94  - 8 15.1
paul,chris           83%  17%  1.41  +11 19.3   head,luther          78%   9%  1.71  + 1 13.4
belinelli,marco      69%  19%  0.88  + 8 12.4   greene,donte         67%  28%  0.93  -14 10.2
ariza,trevor         69%  16%  1.63  +13  9.9   udrih,beno           47%  13%  0.99  + 1  8.6
okafor,emeka         67%  22%  0.55  +12  7.7   landry,carl          71%  23%  0.50  - 2  8.5
green,willie         43%  26%  0.33  - 4  4.6   dalembert,samuel     64%  15%  0.69  - 3  8.4
smith,jason          36%  19%  1.17  - 7  4.4   garcia,francisco     32%  12%  1.54  + 8  7.9
ilungambenga,didier  19%  15%  0.97  - 9  3.5   cousins,demarcus     49%  33%  0.40  - 8  3.8
thornton,marcus      17%  21%  0.72  - 7  2.2   thompson,jason       15%  26%  1.50  + 5  3.7
pondexter,quincy     18%   8%  0.42  - 9  0.5   casspi,omri (DNP)
gray,aaron (DNP)   jackson,darnell (DNP)
mensahbonsu,pops (DNP)   jeter,pooh (DNP)
PACE: 89.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 89.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
hornets,neworleans  84.2 .345  .278 .168 .079   kings,sacramento    79.7 .413  .261 .247 .074

---

LAKERS 117, WARRIORS 89 (box): The Warriors had 23 offensive rebounds, but L.A. got a 10-of-10 performance from Pau Gasol and cruised to the easy win. The Lakers have now scored more than a point per possession in all 14 of their games this season.

GSW (7-6)           PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   LAL (12-2)          PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
wright,dorell        66%  29%  0.74  -35 24.0   bryant,kobe          56%  32%  1.12  +21 30.6
lin,jeremy           37%  32%  1.09  + 6 12.5   gasol,pau            63%  21%  2.15  +27 20.3
curry,stephen        50%  17%  1.49  -26 10.9   brown,shannon        41%  25%  1.70  +12 15.1
adrien,jeff          55%  14%  1.35  - 3  9.6   odom,lamar           56%  24%  1.31  +27 11.8
biedrins,andris      61%  15%  1.21  -30  8.2   blake,steve          41%  15%  1.95  + 9 11.7
ellis,monta          49%  22%  0.68  -31  7.8   fisher,derek         49%  14%  1.50  +20 10.8
radmanovic,vladimir  38%  21%  1.17  - 1  7.4   ebanks,devin         31%  20%  1.15  - 3 10.8
gadzuric,dan         32%  11%  0.91  -10  5.6   barnes,matt          42%  16%  1.66  +16  8.5
williams,reggie      47%  21%  0.55  - 6  4.6   artest,ron           43%   6%  1.54  +19  4.0
bell,charlie         45%  11%  1.01  + 3  3.7   vujacic,sasha        16%  16%  1.16  - 3  2.0
carney,rodney        19%  22%  0.84  - 7  2.6   walton,luke          27%   8%  0.59  - 3  1.3
wright,brandan (DNP)                            caracter,derrick     36%  25%  0.04  - 2  0.4
PACE: 91.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 91.9          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
warriors,goldenst   96.9 .368  .418 .185 .124   lakers,losangeles  127.3 .614  .412 .207 .120

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEWS & MOVES

Minutiae from around the league

EUROPE: "Fenerbahce Ulker has agreed to terms with big man Sean May, fortifying its frontline after losing Gasper Vidmar to injury. May (206, 26) is due in Istanbul on Tuesday and the agreement will go into effect if he passes medical exams on Wednesday." (EuroLeague.net)
From national champ and lottery pick to Gasper Vidmar's injury replacement, and in only five years.

HEAT: "Already without one key rotation member in Mike Miller, the Heat now will be without Udonis Haslem for weeks, potentially much longer. An MRI on Sunday revealed Haslem has a torn ligament in his left foot and will be out indefinitely. Heat president Pat Riley said Sunday night that he expects Haslem will play again this season but doesn't know when. (Miami Herald)
Tough news for the Heat. This costs Miami another spot-up shooter and the Heat offense has often been at its best in halfcourt sets with floor-spacers playing off of LeBron James. (Just like in Cleveland.) Now, Juwan Howard once again inherits a role larger than you'd figure he get at this stage of his career. Howard can't defend like Haslem, nor is his face-up jumper as dependable.

HORNETS/RAPTORS: "The Toronto Raptors announced Saturday they have acquired guard Jerryd Bayless, forward Peja Stojakovic (stoy-AK-o-vich) and cash considerations from the New Orleans Hornets for centre David Andersen and guards Marcus Banks and Jarrett Jack." (press release)
Covered here.

TRAIL BLAZERS: "Portland Trail Blazers center Greg Oden underwent successful microfracture surgery today on his left knee, it was announced by General Manager Rich Cho. Oden, 22, will miss the remainder of the 2010-11 season." (press release)
I've yet to see the "surgeon horribly botched the procedure" press release.

WIZARDS: "The Wizards have completed a somewhat startling reunion, as the team has brought back swingman Alonzo Gee, according to multiple league sources. In order to make the move possible, the Wizards waived reserve point guard Lester Hudson." (Washington Post)
No this isn't quite official, but I trust Michael Lee, so here you go. Neither Gee nor Hudson saw much of the court in their initial gigs this season. In Kirk Hinrich, John Wall and Gilbert Arenas, the Wizards had plenty of point guard options. Gee gives them another wing, which is a bit of a thin area with Josh Howard still out.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FAB FIVE

A selection of our favorite NBA links

1. ""It's pretty obvious this trade was made with the future in mind," Colangelo said. "If the last four years were building around Chris Bosh, then next four years are about building without Chris Bosh. This is a step in that direction."

2. Turkey's latest sensation, Allen Iverson, scored two points in his official league debut.

3. Chris Tomasson writes about how Andrew Bogut is struggling to produce while still recovering from last season's injuries.

4. The Bulls are on the road and I miss them, but it looks like Carlos Boozer now has a target date in mind for his return from a broken hand.

5. After an injury-riddled start, Tiago Splitter is getting up to speed with the Spurs.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ON TAP

Tonight in the NBA

WTC  VIS @ HOM,  GAMETIME     NBAPET LINE    OFFICIALS
+28  orl @ sas,  8:30 PM EST [ sas by  4 ]   Greg Willard, Mark Ayotte, Courtney Kirkland
+17  bos @ atl,  7:00 PM EST [ bos by  0 ]   Bill Spooner, Rodney Mott, Scott Wall
+11  ind @ mia,  7:30 PM EST [ mia by 14 ]   Mike Callahan, Tony Brown, Olandis Poole
+ 2  den @ gsw, 10:30 PM EST [ den by  2 ]   James Capers, Derek Richardson, Sean Wright
+ 2  phx @ hou,  8:30 PM EST [ hou by  3 ]   Bennett Salvatore, Tre Maddox, Michael Smith
- 2  sac @ uta,  9:00 PM EST [ uta by  8 ]   Ken Mauer, Nick Buchert, David Jones
-12  min @ okc,  8:00 PM EST [ okc by 14 ]   Bob Delaney, Curtis Blair, Eric Lewis
-17  nwo @ lac, 10:30 PM EST [ nwo by 18 ]   Marc Davis, Tommy Nunez Jr., Tom Washington
Note: WTC is a junk stat rating the "watchability" of a game, taking into
account the quality of the opponents and the likelihood of a close game.

Through Sunday, 193 of 1,230 games (15.7%) have been played in the 2010-11 NBA regular season.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GLOSSARY
+/- (Plus-Minus) Raw data is from official box scores from NBA.com.
GR (Game Rating) Reflects a player's Points Created total, or the portion of his team's offense for which he gets credit based on his box score line. This number is then adjusted for estimated defensive performance based on box score counterpart productivity. GR is pace-adjusted so you can compare players from game to game.
PCP (Points Created Per Possession Used) An estimate of each player's points created per possession used, a measure of offensive efficiency. The stat accounts for a player's entire box score line, not just the scoring categories.
PLY% (Play percentage) An estimate of the percentage of a team's possessions on which the player was on the court.
USG An estimate of how many of those plays a player used by shooting, going to the line or committing a turnover, with a portion the team's offensive rebound total subtracted.
TEAM STATS
PACE: Estimated possessions in the game.
ORTG: A team's points per 100 possessions.
eFG%: Team's shooting percentage with an extra half-point added for each made three-point field goal.
oRB%: Percentage of a team's misses that they retrieved off the offensive glass.
TO%: Percentage of at team's possessions resulting in a turnover.
FTA%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a trip to the foul line.

You can follow Bradford on Twitter at twitter.com/@bbdoolittle.

The 2010-11 Pro Basketball Prospectus is now available in paperback form on Amazon.com. For sample chapters and more information, see our book page.

Bradford Doolittle is an author of Basketball Prospectus. You can contact Bradford by clicking here or click here to see Bradford's other articles.

0 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Trend Watch (11/22)
<< Previous Column
PBP Roundup (11/19)
Next Column >>
PBP Roundup (11/23)
Next Article >>
The Clipboard (11/22)

RECENTLY AT BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS
State of Basketball Prospectus: A Brief Anno...
Tuesday Truths: March-at-Last Edition
Easy Bubble Solver: The Triumphant Return
Premium Article Bubbles of their Own Making: Villanova, Temp...
Tuesday Truths: Crunch Time Edition

MORE FROM NOVEMBER 22, 2010
The Clipboard: Felton is Failing on the Pick...
Premium Article Trend Watch: Nuggets Need Smith, Humphries a...
Premium Article Coaches v. Cancer: Pitt Wins a Close One

MORE BY BRADFORD DOOLITTLE
2010-11-25 - PBP Roundup: Thanksgiving Edition
2010-11-24 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 23
2010-11-23 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 22
2010-11-22 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 19-21
2010-11-20 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Hornets-Raptors deal
2010-11-19 - PBP Roundup: Weekend Edition #4
2010-11-18 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 17
More...

MORE PBP ROUNDUP
2010-11-25 - PBP Roundup: Thanksgiving Edition
2010-11-24 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 23
2010-11-23 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 22
2010-11-22 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 19-21
2010-11-19 - PBP Roundup: Weekend Edition #4
2010-11-18 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 17
2010-11-17 - PBP Roundup: Nov. 16
More...

Basketball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2013 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.