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The Shootaround (02/13)

February 12, 2011
The Shootaround
Who has been the league's most productive defensive player?

by Bradford Doolittle

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HEADLINER

I was going to just stick this chart in the leaderboard section, but the results it reflects prompted so much investigation, I decided to move it up and put a spotlight on it.

NBAPET DEFENSIVE POINTS SAVED
#  PLAYER,, PS                #  PLAYER,, PS
 1. Nick Young, 327           16. Shawn Marion, 185
 2. Thaddeus Young, 323       17. Elton Brand, 185
 3. Zach Randolph, 287        18. Ray Allen, 181
 4. Rashard Lewis, 273        19. Jamal Crawford, 180
 5. Dwight Howard, 269        20. Andray Blatche, 176
 6. Jason Terry, 261          21. Rudy Gay, 173
 7. George Hill, 231          22. Wilson Chandler, 172
 8. LaMarcus Aldridge, 230    23. John Wall, 170
 9. Glen Davis, 230           24. Andre Iguodala, 170
10. Pau Gasol, 230            25. Ronnie Brewer, 168
11. Blake Griffin, 217        26. Rajon Rondo, 167
12. Lamar Odom, 215           27. Andrew Bogut, 164
13. Carl Landry, 210          28. Evan Turner, 161
14. James Harden, 202         29. Luol Deng, 160
15. Louis Williams, 189       30. Kirk Hinrich, 158

This isn't a metric I break out too often, but it's related to the dMULT number generated by NBAPET. Using box score counterparts, dMULT measures how well a player has defended his counterpart as compared to seasonal norms. Let's say Derrick Rose is matched with Chris Paul, who ends up playing 80 possessions during the game, of which he uses 20 percent, or 16. Based on Paul's season-to-date numbers, he could be expected to create 1.46 points per possession, or 23.4 points for the 16 possessions he used. However, an analysis of his box score line versus Rose results in 17.8 points created. Rose's dMULT for the game would be .761 (17.8/23.4). This single-game figure (with ceilings and floors introduced to regulate extreme performances) is used in NBAPET's version of a game score, Game Rating (GR). At the season-aggregate level, dMULT is figured roughly in this fashion, but also includes an component to regess the number for playing time. (Also, the projected Defensive Skill ratings you see in the Pro Basketball Prospectus books combines data from the previous four seasons and also incorporates on-court/off-court stats and, beginning with the last book, Synergy data.)

As an offshoot of this process, Defensive Points Saved (DPS) simply measures the defensive effect like this: Since Rose held Paul 5.6 points below what he would be expected to get on the possessions he used (23.4-17.8), Rose is credited with 5.6 Defensive Points Saved. The season number is simply the sum of these single-game totals. These numbers, like all defensive metrics based on box score counterparts, are subject to the vagaries of the method. Rose, in our example, is getting 100 percent of the credit for Paul's off-night. In reality, this isn't right and our hope is that given a large enough sample--of which one game is woefully inadequate--that some solid patterns emerge we can use to quantify defensive ability. I remain convinced that this exact method would work if applied on a possession-by-possession basis. Just off the top of my head, I would guess that NBAPET's defensive metrics would be improved by at least 50 percent if they were based on plays and not box score lines. It's a transition we'll eventually make. In their present form, DPS is prone to favor good perimeter defenders as they guard players who use more possessions. (This is precisely why dMULT is the defensive metric of choice in NBAPET.)

As I'm sure you're doing right now, my eyes popped out of my head when I saw Nick Young on top of the Defensive Points Saved leaderboard. Young's dMULT this season is .784, which is to say he's held his counterparts 21.6 percent below their normal production. It's one of the best figures in the league. His totals the previous three seasons have been 1.025, .980, 1.000. This season, his opponent PER at 82games.com is 12.8, an outstanding score. Like NBAPET, this number is built off of counterpart performance. Also according to 82games.com, the Wizards have allowed 112.0 points per 100 possessions with Young out of the game. With him on the floor, that number improves to 108.4. And, if you think his performance is based soley on the kind of cross-matching problems that plague systems like this, note that John Wall and Kirk Hinrich are also on the leaderboard.

Unfortunately, Young's numbers from Synergy Sports Technology don't really back all of this up. Those suggest that he's allowed 0.91 points per play. That ranks 231st in the league--middle of the pack. Last season, the average PPP allowed by both shooting guards and small forwards was 0.91. Young was at 0.92. So it appears that he is at least average and that somewhere in the Wizards rotation is hidden an outstanding perimeter defender. Well, Wall's PPP is 0.93; Hinrich's is 0.94. Overall, The Wizards rank 20th in Defensive Rating. I guess all we can really do is admit that when it comes to measuring defense, we don't always know what we know. That's why we have to watch the games.

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LIVE AT BASKETBALL PROSPECTUS

Sloan: The Legacy (by Bradford Doolittle): The thing we'll remember most about Jerry Sloan is that he did things his way.

The Clipboard: Sloan's Xs and Os (by Sebastian Pruiti): A tribute to Jerry Sloan after his sudden resignation takes a look at the long-time Jazz coach's most effective plays coming out of timeouts (premium)

Amazing Pace: Jayhawks on a Tear (by C.J. Moore): Can a team that's not even in first place in its own conference be playing some of the best offense seen in recent years? Apparently. C.J. Moore gives a guided tour of the remarkable Kansas offense. (premium)

What's Next? Life After Sloan in Utah (by Kevin Pelton): Thursday was all about paying tribute to Jerry Sloan's legendary run at the helm of the Utah Jazz. Starting tomorrow, the Jazz will have to refocus on the playoff race and an uncertain future. (premium)

The Class of 2007: A Look Back (by Kevin Pelton): Three of the league's brightest young stars were top prep prospects four years ago. Here's a look at where they ranked and what happened to the rest of the prospects in the high school class of 2007. (premium)

All Eyes on Pitt: Is This the Year? (by John Gasaway) They're alone atop the Big East and poised for their second 1-seed in three seasons, but the Panthers aren't satisfied. They want to get to the Final Four. In his feature for ESPN Insider, John weighs their chances. (premium)

Getting to the Line: Derrick Rose's Development (by Kevin Pelton): A conspicuous lack of free throw attempts had held back Derrick Rose's game, but improving in this regard has helped fuel his breakthrough over the last two months. (free)

Poll Position: Carolina is Back (by John Gasaway): Just in time for tonight's showdown at Duke, the Tar Heels are suddenly looking much more Tar Heel-like. In his feature for ESPN Insider, John explains what's changed in Chapel Hill.

On the Beat: Adjustment for Gibson (by John Perrotto): In Cleveland Daniel Gibson is negotiating the transition from how the Cavaliers used to be to the way they are now.

Tuesday Truths: Post-NFL Edition (by John Gasaway): North Carolina and Alabama are rising, Washington and Michigan State are falling, and Wyoming's changing horses mid-stream. Time to pay attention to the sport where Green Bay's 6-6 in the Horizon League. (free)

Follow Unfiltered, the Basketball Prospectus blog.

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FANTASY PROJECTIONS

Our downloadable Basketball Fantasy Projection spreadsheets are available for anyone with a premium subscription to Basketball Prospectus. The sheet is updated weekly and can be found on your 'Manage Profile' page. The download includes a forecast for the seven days, Monday through Sunday, for every player, game-by-game projections, health status updates and current team rotations. (Current projections reflect week of Feb. 7-13.)

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HOOPS CHATS

Basketball Prospectus authors take your questions from time to time in always-popular chat format. All chats begin at 1 p.m. EST on the day listed, but you can go in and submit a question beforehand if you like, or read the transcript after the fact.

Feb. 3: Kevin Pelton (TRANSCRIPT)

Jan. 28: Bradford Doolittle (TRANSCRIPT)

Jan. 14: John Gasaway (TRANSCRIPT)

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HOT FIVES

POWER RATING (POW)       GR (02/11/11)           WP82 -- ALL        WP82 -- ROOKIES
San Antonio Spurs, 63.6  bryant,kobe, 46.0       james,lebron, 37.2 griffin,blake, 19.9
Miami Heat, 57.9         aldridge,lamarcus, 38.3 paul,chris, 32.5   wall,john, 5.5
Boston Celtics, 57.7     foye,randy, 38.1        rose,derrick, 28.5 neal,gary, 4.8
Los Angeles Lakers, 56.0 felton,raymond, 35.8    bryant,kobe, 27.8  fields,landry, 4.8
Dallas Mavericks, 54.9   bargnani,andrea, 33.6   gasol,pau, 27.6    turner,evan, 3.6
Note: GR leaders are from previous night only.

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LEADERBOARD

RECORD IN CLOSE GAMES*
 1. San Antonio Spurs, 9-2      16. New York Knicks, 6-7
 2. Utah Jazz, 9-3              17. Golden State Warriors, 6-7
 3. Atlanta Hawks, 9-4          18. Los Angeles Clippers, 6-7
 4. Dallas Mavericks, 15-7      19. Phoenix Suns, 6-7
 5. Boston Celtics, 14-7        20. Charlotte Bobcats, 11-14
 6. Oklahoma City Thunder, 14-7 21. Milwaukee Bucks, 5-7
 7. Chicago Bulls, 10-6         22. Houston Rockets, 7-11
 8. Washington Wizards, 7-5     23. Miami Heat, 5-8
 9. New Orleans Hornets, 11-8   24. Detroit Pistons, 6-10
10. Memphis Grizzlies, 12-9     25. Indiana Pacers, 5-9
11. Los Angeles Lakers, 8-6     26. Sacramento Kings, 7-13
12. Orlando Magic, 7-6          27. Cleveland Cavaliers, 3-6
13. Denver Nuggets, 9-8         28. Philadelphia 76ers, 4-12
14. Portland Trail Blazers, 9-8 29. Toronto Raptors, 3-9
15. New Jersey Nets, 7-8        30. Minnesota Timberwolves, 3-12
* - games decided by five points or less

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FRIDAY'S RESULTS

NOTE: Glossary is at bottom of page.

NETS 94, BOBCATS 89 (box): Brook Lopez had 31 points on 27 shots and added 11 rebounds for just his second double-double in 54 games played this season.

NJN (17-37).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   CHA (22-31).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
lopez,brook..........86%  36%  0.92  + 6 33.5   jackson,stephen......82%  27%  1.00  -12 30.0
harris,devin.........68%  18%  1.61  + 6 28.8   wallace,gerald.......85%  17%  1.44  + 2 28.7
humphries,kris.......66%  21%  1.22  - 2 18.4   diaw,boris...........62%  22%  1.10  -10 13.9
vujacic,sasha........54%  20%  1.08  + 1  7.2   hendersonjr,gerald...36%  24%  1.18  + 2  8.5
farmar,jordan........32%  25%  0.96  + 1  5.5   livingston,shaun.....42%  24%  0.91  + 4  7.7
morrow,anthony.......73%  11%  0.49  +17  3.4   brown,kwame..........62%  14%  0.85  -10  4.6
favors,derrick.......33%   6%  2.01  + 3  3.2   augustin,d.j.........59%  18%  0.37  - 7  3.1
outlaw,travis........62%  13%  0.45  - 2  2.7   najera,eduardo.......35%  17%  0.55  + 1  2.1
ross,quinton.........13%  13%  1.05  - 6  2.7   mohammed,nazr........16%  16%  0.16  - 3  0.6
petro,johan..........13%  13%  0.00  + 1  0.0   mcguire,dominic......21%   3%  0.64  + 8  0.3
graham,stephen.......(DNP)                      brown,derrick........(DNP)  
uzoh,ben.............(DNP)                      carroll,matt.........(DNP)  
PACE: 89.3          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 89.3          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Nets.............  105.2 .419  .260 .056 .167   Bobcats..........   99.6 .456  .125 .146 .192

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PACERS 116, TIMBERWOLVES 105 (box): Dahntay Jones scored all 19 of his points in the fourth quarter, helping the Pacers overcome a seven-point deficit entering the final period and pushing Frank Vogel's record to 6-1 as Indiana's head coach.

MIN (13-40).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   IND (23-28).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
pekovic,nikola.......47%  19%  1.37  -15 24.0   granger,danny........63%  26%  1.09  + 7 28.6
love,kevin...........81%  20%  1.55  -14 22.8   collison,darren......67%  22%  0.89  - 1 21.8
koufos,kosta.........34%  19%  1.51  + 9 14.4   hansbrough,tyler.....47%  31%  0.83  -10 15.3
hayward,lazar........55%  20%  1.24  + 4 13.6   jones,dahntay........39%  24%  1.84  +11 15.1
ellington,wayne......70%  19%  1.05  - 6 11.7   mcroberts,josh.......53%  16%  1.43  +21 11.5
brewer,corey.........46%  24%  1.06  -15  9.5   price,a.j............33%  21%  1.34  +12 10.5
telfair,sebastian....50%  19%  0.96  - 6  8.2   dunleavy jr.,mike....40%  22%  1.73  + 6 10.4
flynn,jonny..........48%  22%  0.41  - 4  6.3   george,paul..........59%  14%  1.71    0 10.2
tolliver,anthony.....36%   9%  1.32  - 1  4.3   hibbert,roy..........61%  11%  0.94  + 6  4.7
johnson,wesley.......31%  21%  0.51  - 7  3.7   foster,jeff..........37%   8%  1.34  + 3  2.9
beasley,michael......(DNP)                      posey,james..........(DNP)  
milicic,darko........(DNP)                      rush,brandon.........(DNP)  
PACE: 88.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 88.6          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Timberwolves.....  118.5 .450  .392 .056 .149   Pacers...........  130.9 .543  .351 .147 .174

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HORNETS 99, MAGIC 93 (box): Starting for the second straight game in place of Marco Belinelli, Willie Green put up a season best GR and scored a game-high 24 points.

NWO (33-22).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   ORL (35-20).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
green,willie.........75%  29%  1.06  - 1 30.1   howard,dwight........87%  19%  1.29  -10 22.1
west,david...........74%  20%  1.45  +12 28.0   turkoglu,hedo........69%  20%  1.33  - 7 18.3
paul,chris...........75%  21%  1.14  +12 19.0   clark,earl...........54%  21%  1.09  - 9 18.0
ariza,trevor.........84%  20%  0.76  + 2  7.7   redick,j.j...........61%  19%  1.18  - 5 16.3
jack,jarrett.........35%  28%  1.25  + 3  7.6   nelson,jameer........61%  23%  0.81  - 2 12.8
andersen,david.......24%  28%  1.38  - 2  7.3   arenas,gilbert.......39%  30%  1.03  - 4  7.5
gray,aaron...........61%   8%  1.54  + 8  7.2   anderson,ryan........58%  16%  0.68  + 9  5.1
belinelli,marco......29%  15%  0.96  + 4  3.0   richardson,jason.....71%  12%  0.91  - 2  5.0
ilungambenga,didier..13%   6%  2.17  - 1  1.3   allen,malik..........(DNP)  
smith,jason..........19%   8%  0.50  + 2  0.5   bass,brandon.........(DNP)  
pavlovic,sasha.......10%  10%  0.12  - 9  0.1   duhon,chris..........(DNP)  
thornton,marcus......(DNP)                      richardson,quentin...(DNP)  
PACE: 88.4          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 88.4          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Hornets..........  111.9 .488  .209 .057 .104   Magic............  105.2 .494  .171 .147 .124

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76ERS 77, SPURS 71 (box): Jrue Holiday's 27 points were 11 more than anybody else in the game as Philly held the Spurs to 33 percent shooting and forced 16 turnovers.

SAS (44-9)..........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   PHI (25-28).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
mcdyess,antonio......41%  22%  1.48    0 18.9   holiday,jrue.........79%  23%  1.57  +12 33.3
duncan,tim...........66%  27%  1.08  -10 11.5   iguodala,andre.......86%  21%  0.71  +10 15.0
blair,dejuan.........52%  25%  0.95  - 1 11.2   meeks,jodie..........47%   7%  2.57  + 1 10.2
neal,gary............51%  24%  0.90  + 2  9.2   hawes,spencer........66%  18%  1.33  + 4  9.5
hill,george..........58%  11%  0.96    0  8.7   williams,lou.........56%  25%  0.52  + 1  8.3
ginobili,manu........71%  21%  0.78  + 2  8.6   brand,elton..........76%  14%  1.26  +13  7.7
parker,tony..........69%  20%  0.85  -12  6.9   young,thaddeus.......41%  27%  0.55  - 4  4.2
jefferson,richard....54%  16%  0.48  -12  5.6   turner,evan..........33%  17%  0.80  - 4  3.2
bonner,matt..........38%   2%  4.11  + 1  4.7   speights,marreese.... 8%  24%  0.56  + 1  1.2
novak,steve..........(DNP)                      songaila,darius...... 8%  11%  0.00  - 4  0.0
quinn,chris..........(DNP)                      nocioni,andres.......(DNP)  
splitter,tiago.......(DNP)                      kapono,jason.........(DNP)  
PACE: 83.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 83.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Spurs............   85.3 .352  .283 .060 .095   76ers............   92.5 .384  .160 .156 .090

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TRAIL BLAZERS 102, RAPTORS 96 (box): LaMarcus Aldridge has scored 79 points on 29-for-48 shooting over his last two games.

POR (29-24).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   TOR (14-40).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
aldridge,lamarcus....87%  42%  1.10  + 2 38.3   bargnani,andrea......89%  31%  1.19  + 1 33.6
miller,andre.........75%  13%  2.02  + 1 24.9   derozan,demar........80%  20%  1.16  - 1 31.0
fernandez,rudy.......69%  25%  1.78  +12 24.7   bayless,jerryd.......44%  33%  1.37  -16 14.1
batum,nicolas........82%   8%  1.91  + 1 18.9   weems,sonny..........73%  17%  0.90  -14 13.5
matthews,wesley......78%  19%  0.57  + 8  8.3   calderon,jose........63%   6%  3.67  + 7 13.2
mills,patrick........25%  26%  1.46  + 5  8.0   barbosa,leandro......43%  24%  0.76  +17  7.5
cunningham,dante.....55%   6%  1.93  - 3  5.6   davis,ed.............59%  10%  1.65  -17  7.3
przybilla,joel.......29%   9%  1.27  + 4  3.8   dorsey,joey..........39%   9%  0.79  + 2  2.7
babbitt,luke.........(DNP)                      wright,julian........10%  29%  0.84  - 9  1.8
camby,marcus.........(DNP)                      ajinca,alexis........(DNP)  
marks,sean...........(DNP)                      alabi,soloman........(DNP)  
roy,brandon..........(DNP)                      johnson,trey.........(DNP)  
PACE: 77.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 77.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Trail Blazers....  132.3 .593  .281 .065 .143   Raptors..........  124.6 .549  .343 .169 .137

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CAVALIERS 126, CLIPPERS 119 (box): J.J. Hickson and Antawn Jamison combined for 62 points as Cleveland snapped its NBA record 26-game losing streak.

LAC (20-33).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   CLE (9-45)..........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
foye,randy...........84%  24%  1.14  - 1 38.1   hickson,j.j..........85%  27%  1.05  + 2 31.8
davis,baron..........77%  27%  1.21  - 1 26.8   jamison,antawn.......83%  27%  1.48  + 6 29.3
griffin,blake........84%  35%  0.97  - 4 21.0   williams,maurice.....58%  30%  1.28  +10 20.2
gomes,ryan...........81%   6%  1.93  - 3 11.4   gibson,daniel........61%  15%  1.72  +10 15.6
bledsoe,eric.........65%  16%  1.25  -14  9.7   sessions,ramon.......49%  18%  1.37  - 1 10.0
jordan,deandre.......61%   5%  1.83  - 4  5.2   eyenga,christian.....37%  20%  0.79  - 1  6.4
aminu,alfarouq.......24%  20%  0.62  - 4  4.6   parker,anthony.......64%   7%  1.44    0  5.2
diogu,ike............24%  13%  1.38  - 4  4.0   hollins,ryan.........31%  10%  1.48  + 3  4.8
butler,rasual........(DNP)                      moon,jamario.........32%   6%  1.55  + 6  4.5
cook,brian...........(DNP)                      graham,joey..........(DNP)  
gordon,eric..........(DNP)                      harris,manny.........(DNP)  
kaman,chris..........(DNP)                      samuels,samardo......(DNP)  
PACE: 98.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 98.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Clippers.........  120.8 .490  .354 .051 .143   Cavaliers........  127.9 .543  .300 .132 .143

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HEAT 106, PISTONS 92 (box): The Heat poured in 30 fastbreak points, won for eighth straight time and has now exceeded a point per possession in 50 of its 53 games this season.

MIA (39-14).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   DET (20-34).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
wade,dwyane..........76%  24%  1.56  +19 31.0   daye,austin..........48%  33%  1.37  +11 18.3
james,lebron.........72%  29%  1.24  +15 27.5   gordon,ben...........57%  23%  1.50  - 3 16.4
bosh,chris...........77%  22%  1.15  +21 17.2   prince,tayshaun......64%  18%  1.10  -17 15.2
ilgauskas,zydrunas...46%  18%  1.43  + 8 12.7   mcgrady,tracy........59%  21%  0.97  -20 12.1
miller,mike..........62%  15%  1.92  + 4 12.4   stuckey,rodney.......51%  27%  0.80  -15 11.8
chalmers,mario.......57%  20%  1.03  - 2 11.3   monroe,greg..........57%  10%  1.63  -17 11.2
house,eddie..........37%  18%  1.77  + 9 10.5   bynum,will...........41%  15%  1.50  + 6  7.8
anthony,joel.........49%   6%  0.79  + 1  3.7   villanueva,charlie...42%  26%  0.42  - 6  6.4
jones,james..........17%  17%  1.38  + 1  2.8   maxiell,jason........11%  17%  2.30  + 8  5.1
howard,juwan......... 7%  12%  0.00  - 6  0.0   wilcox,chris.........30%  12%  0.61  - 8  4.2
arroyo,carlos........(DNP)                      wallace,ben..........40%   5%  1.89  - 9  3.5
dampier,erick........(DNP)                      hamilton,richard.....(DNP)  
PACE: 82.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 82.1          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Heat.............  129.1 .547  .324 .061 .155   Pistons..........  112.0 .475  .267 .158 .102

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LAKERS 113, KNICKS 96 (box): Kobe Bryant scored 33 points on 17 shots and just missed his best GR of the season, falling 0.1 points short in what was likely Phil Jackson's final game at Madison Square Garden.

LAL (38-16).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   NYK (26-26).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
bryant,kobe..........60%  40%  1.39  + 4 46.0   felton,raymond.......71%  18%  1.81  -14 35.8
odom,lamar...........57%  22%  1.16  +20 17.4   stoudemire,amare.....66%  41%  0.82  -14 19.1
gasol,pau............67%  24%  1.12  + 8 14.3   gallinari,danilo.....80%  24%  0.72  -11 17.5
blake,steve..........48%  11%  2.23  +11 11.0   chandler,wilson......72%  15%  1.38  -18  9.5
bynum,andrew.........63%  18%  1.16  + 8 10.4   mozgov,timofey.......61%  15%  1.00  + 2  8.8
walton,luke..........38%  14%  1.92  + 8  9.1   douglas,toney........47%  11%  1.65  - 8  5.9
brown,shannon........48%  19%  1.17  +13  8.7   fields,landry........63%  11%  0.89  -17  4.1
artest,ron...........54%  20%  0.57  + 9  6.3   williams,shawne......30%  14%  0.91  - 8  3.3
smith,joe............ 6%  43%  0.71  - 1  1.1   randolph,anthony.....10%  26%  1.22  + 3  2.1
fisher,derek.........52%   0%  2.43  + 6  0.4   mason,roger..........(DNP)  
caracter,derrick..... 6%  14%  0.00  - 1  0.0   rautins,andy.........(DNP)  
ebanks,devin.........(DNP)                      walker,bill..........(DNP)  
PACE: 90.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 90.5          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Lakers...........  124.8 .571  .184 .055 .122   Knicks...........  106.1 .441  .277 .144 .117

---

GRIZZLIES 89, BUCKS 86 (box): Michael Conley had 23 points, five rebounds, eight assists and three steals as the Grizzlies withstood Zach Randolph's absence due to an ankle injury and stayed one game behind Portland and moved two games behind Utah in the Western Conference playoff chase.

MIL (20-32).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   MEM (29-26).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
maggette,corey.......63%  28%  1.26  - 7 24.7   conley,mike..........80%  31%  1.25  + 2 30.0
salmons,john.........71%  23%  1.42  - 1 18.8   arthur,darrell.......75%  20%  0.87  -10 21.4
dooling,keyon........49%  24%  0.81  - 3 15.9   gasol,marc...........75%  13%  1.13  - 1 17.7
jennings,brandon.....74%  28%  0.97  + 4 14.4   gay,rudy.............83%  19%  1.12  + 1 12.7
bogut,andrew.........84%  12%  0.88  - 2 11.8   young,sam............88%  13%  1.60  + 4 12.7
delfino,carlos.......48%  17%  1.09  - 2  8.3   allen,tony...........51%  22%  1.00  +14 11.5
mbahamoute,luc.......40%  18%  1.34  -12  7.1   carroll,demarre...... 5%  17%  1.87    0  1.2
ilyasova,ersan.......57%  10%  0.63  + 4  3.9   haddadi,hamed........16%  25%  0.31  +10  1.2
brockman,jon.........14%   5%  0.00  + 4  0.0   vasquez,greivis......13%  22%  0.10  + 2  0.3
boykins,earl.........(DNP)                      williams,jason....... 9%   9%  0.00  - 1  0.0
sanders,larry........(DNP)                      haddadi,hamed........(DNP)  
temple,garrett.......(DNP)                      henry,xavier.........(DNP)  
PACE: 82.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 82.0          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Bucks............  104.9 .435  .244 .061 .129   Grizzlies........  108.6 .453  .250 .159 .161

---

SUNS 95, JAZZ 83 (box): The new-look Suns held a 19-8 edge on second-chance points, moved a game over .500 and held its third straight opponent under a point per possession.

PHX (26-25).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR   UTA (31-24).........PLY%  USG   PCP  +/-   GR
warrick,hakim........45%  25%  1.60  +15 23.1   miles,c.j............76%  27%  1.09  - 9 24.9
gortat,marcin........65%  15%  1.48  + 9 18.8   williams,deron.......85%  26%  1.45  - 5 20.6
lopez,robin..........35%  45%  0.90  + 3 17.9   hayward,gordon.......63%  10%  2.40  -23 17.9
nash,steve...........70%  18%  1.99  +12 17.4   millsap,paul.........78%  20%  1.05  -10 17.7
dowdell,zabian.......30%  29%  0.84    0  9.4   kirilenko,andrei.....28%  23%  1.52  +17  8.7
hill,grant...........68%  14%  1.30  + 6  6.8   jefferson,al.........78%  19%  0.57  - 8  4.5
pietrus,mickael......45%  13%  0.94  +15  6.7   evans,jeremy.........16%  17%  0.87  - 5  2.4
frye,channing........55%  18%  0.66  - 3  6.1   watson,earl..........33%  18%  0.33  -11  1.2
carter,vince.........42%  17%  0.92  - 1  4.5   elson,francisco......23%   7%  0.38  - 4  0.3
dudley,jared.........45%  16%  0.53  + 4  2.1   fesenko,kyrylo.......21%   8%  0.23  - 2  0.2
childress,josh.......(DNP)                      bell,raja............(DNP)  
siler,garret.........(DNP)                      price,ronnie.........(DNP)  
PACE: 84.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%   PACE: 84.2          ORTG eFG%  oRB%  TO% FTA%
Suns.............  112.8 .433  .300 .059 .120   Jazz.............   98.6 .481  .238 .154 .063

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEWS & MOVES

Minutiae from press releases around the league

No new releases since yesterday.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LINK-IN

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ON TAP

Tonight in the NBA

WTC  VIS @ HOM,  GAMETIME     NBAPET LINE    OFFICIALS
+15  chi @ nwo,  8:00 PM EST [ chi by  0 ]   T.Washington, D.Guthrie, J.Tiven
+ 7  dal @ hou,  8:30 PM EST [ dal by  2 ]   D.Jones, E.Roe, G.Zielinski
+ 4  ind @ mil,  8:30 PM EST [ mil by  1 ]   B.Kennedy, C.Kirkland, M.Lindsay
+ 3  cha @ atl,  7:00 PM EST [ atl by  7 ]   M.McCutchen, C.Blair, L.Wood
- 1  phi @ min,  8:00 PM EST [ phi by  2 ]   E.Malloy, S.Wall, H.Workman
- 2  okc @ sac, 10:00 PM EST [ okc by  5 ]   D.Bavetta, B.Forte, J.Goble
- 3  nyk @ njn,  7:00 PM EST [ nyk by  3 ]   B.Delaney, E.Lewis, V.Palmer
- 6  sas @ was,  8:00 PM EST [ sas by 12 ]   D.Stafford, N.Buchert, L.Richardson
Note: WTC is a junk stat rating the "watchability" of a game, taking into
account the quality of the opponents and the likelihood of a close game.

Through Friday, 793 of 1,230 games (64.5 percent) have been played in the 2010-11 NBA regular season.

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GLOSSARY
+/- (Plus-Minus) Raw data is from official box scores from NBA.com.
GR (Game Rating) Reflects a player's Points Created total, or the portion of his team's offense for which he gets credit based on his box score line. This number is then adjusted for estimated defensive performance based on box score counterpart productivity. GR is pace-adjusted so you can compare players from game to game.
PCP (Points Created Per Possession Used) An estimate of each player's points created per possession used, a measure of offensive efficiency. The stat accounts for a player's entire box score line, not just the scoring categories.
PLY% (Play percentage) An estimate of the percentage of a team's possessions on which the player was on the court.
USG An estimate of how many of those plays a player used by shooting, going to the line or committing a turnover, with a portion the team's offensive rebound total subtracted.
TEAM STATS
PACE: Estimated possessions in the game.
ORTG: A team's points per 100 possessions.
eFG%: Team's shooting percentage with an extra half-point added for each made three-point field goal.
oRB%: Percentage of a team's misses that they retrieved off the offensive glass.
TO%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a turnover.
FTA%: Percentage of a team's possessions resulting in a trip to the foul line.

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