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March 9, 2010
The List
Projecting the Field

by John Perrotto

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We'll finally know the NCAA Tournament field on Sunday evening when the selection committee announces the 65 teams. With that highlight of the college basketball season fast approaching, let's take one last look at our projected NCAA field along with our top 25 teams.

The top four on The List remain unchanged from last week as Kansas stays at No. 1 and is followed by Syracuse, Duke and Kentucky. West Virginia moves into the No. 5 spot. The biggest gainer of the week is Tennessee, which moves back onto The List at No. 20 after falling out of the rankings last week. Vanderbilt takes the biggest tumble, dropping from No. 19 to off The List.

As always, we lean on the objective data, taking into account Ken Pomeroy’s Pomeroy Ratings at kenpom.com, the Jeff Sagarin ratings for USA Today at usatoday.com, RealTimeRPI at realtimerpi.com, Team Rankings at teamrankings.com and Kyle Whelliston’s State of Basketball rankings at basketballstate.com.

1.Kansas
Record: 29-2
Last week’s ranking: 1
Last week: Defeated Kansas State 82-65 and Missouri 77-56
This week: Colorado or Texas Tech on Thursday in Big 12 tournament
Information: Cole Aldrich's 13.7 block percentage is fifth in the nation.

2.Syracuse
Record: 28-3
Last week’s ranking: 2
Last week: Defeated St. John's 85-66, lost to Louisville 78-68
This week: Georgetown, South Florida or DePaul on Thursday in Big East tournament
Information: Scoop Jardine's 33.7 assist rate is 34th in the nation.

3.Duke
Record: 26-5
Last week’s ranking: 3
Last week: Lost to Maryland 79-72, defeated North Carolina 82-50
This week: Boston College or Virginia on Friday in ACC Tournament
Information: Brian Zoubek's 22.2 offensive rebounding percentage is first in the nation.

4.Kentucky
Record: 29-2
Last week’s ranking: 4
Last week: Defeated Georgia 80-68 and Florida 74-66
This week: South Carolina or Alabama on Friday in SEC Tournament
Information: DeMarcus Cousins' 21.9 offensive rebounding percentage is second in the nation.

5.West Virginia
Record: 24-6
Last week’s ranking: 7
Last week: Defeated Georgetown 81-68 and Villanova 68-66
This week: Louisville, Cincinnati or Rutgers on Thursday in Big East Tournament
Information: Kevin Jones' 126.9 offensive rating is 18th in the nation.

6.Purdue
Record: 26-4
Last week’s ranking: 6
Last week: Defeated Indiana 74-55 and Penn State 64-60
This week: Northwestern or Indiana on Friday in Big Ten tournament
Information: Chris Kramer's 61.4 true shooting percentage is 95th in the nation.

7.Brigham Young
Record: 28-4
Last week’s ranking: 9
Last week: Defeated Utah 71-51 and TCU 107-77
This week: TCU on Thursday in Mountain West tournament
Information: Noah Hartsock's 127.6 offensive rating is 13th in the nation.

8.Kansas State
Record: 24-6
Last week’s ranking: 5
Last week: Lost to Kansas 82-65 and Iowa State 85-82
This week: Oklahoma State or Oklahoma on Thursday in Big 12 tournament
Information: Jamar Samuels' 7.4 fouls drawn per 40 minutes is 11th in the nation.

9.Villanova
Record: 24-6
Last week’s ranking: 8
Last week: Defeated Cincinnati 77-73, lost to West Virginia 68-66
This week: Marquette, Connecticut or St. John's on Thursday in Big East tournament
Information: Scottie Reynolds' 63.4 true shooting percentage is 42nd in the nation.

10.Wisconsin
Record: 23-7
Last week’s ranking: 11
Last week: Defeated Iowa 67-40 and Illinois 72-57
This week: Illinois on Friday in Big Ten tournament
Information: Jon Leuer's 8.7 turnover rate is 13th in the nation.

11.Baylor
Record: 24-6
Last week’s ranking: 14
Last week: Defeated Texas Tech 86-68 and Texas 92-77
This week: Texas or Iowa State on Thursday in Big 12 tournament
Information: Epke Udoh's 13.0 block percentage is sixth in the nation.

12.Maryland
Record: 23-7
Last week’s ranking: 16
Last week: Defeated Duke 79-72 and Virginia 74-68
This week: Georgia Tech or North Carolina on Friday in ACC tournament
Information: Greivis Vasquez's 36.1 assist rate is 19th in the nation.

13.Ohio State
Record: 24-7
Last week’s ranking: 12
Last week: Defeated Michigan 66-55 and Illinois 73-57
This week: Michigan or Iowa on Friday in Big Ten tournament
Information: Dallas Lauderdale's 76.9 true shooting percentage is first in the nation.

14.New Mexico
Record: 28-3
Last week’s ranking: 10
Last week: Defeated TCU 73-66
This week: Wyoming or Air Force on Thursday in the Mountain West tournament
Information: Dairese Gary's 95.1 free throw rate is eighth in the nation.

15.Butler
Record: 27-4
Last week’s ranking: 17
Last week: Defeated Valparaiso 74-69 and Wisconsin-Milwaukee 68-59
This week: Off
Information: Matt Howard's 86.5 free throw rate is 11th in the nation.

16.Temple
Record: 26-5
Last week’s ranking: 20
Last week: Defeated Saint Louis 57-51 and George Washington 70-57
This week: St. Bonaventure or Duquesne on Friday in Atlantic 10 tournament
Information: Ryan Brooks' 10.4 turnover rate is 42nd in the nation.

17.Pittsburgh
Record: 24-7
Last week’s ranking: 15
Last week: Defeated Providence 73-71 and Rutgers 83-54
This week: Notre Dame, Seton Hall or Providence on Thursday in Big East tournament
Information: Ashton Gibbs' 1.2 fouls called per 40 minutes is eighth in the nation.

18.Texas
Record: 23-8
Last week’s ranking: 13
Last week: Defeated Oklahoma 87-76 , lost to Texas 92-77
This week: Iowa State on Wednesday in Big 12 tournament
Information: Dexter Pittman's 16.6 offensive rebounding percentage is eighth in the nation.

19.Texas A&M
Record: 22-8
Last week’s ranking: 24
Last week: Defeated Oklahoma State 76-61 and Oklahoma 69-54
This week: Missouri or Nebraska on Thursday in Big 12 tournament
Information: Bryan Davis' 87.2 free throw rate is 10th in the nation.

20.Tennessee
Record: 23-7
Last week’s ranking: NR
Last week: Defeated Arkansas 80-73 and Mississippi State 75-59
This week: LSU on Thursday in SEC tournament
Information: J.P. Prince's 3.7 steal percentage is 66th in the nation.

21.Georgetown
Record: 20-9
Last week’s ranking: 21
Last week: Lost to West Virginia 81-68, defeated Cincinnati 74-47
This week: South Florida or DePaul on Wednesday in Big East tournament
Information: Austin Freeman's 65.5 true shooting percentage is 13th in the nation.

22.Xavier
Record: 23-7
Last week’s ranking: 18
Last week: Defeated Fordham 82-56 and St. Bonaventure 93-72
This week: Dayton or George Washington on Friday in Atlantic 10 tournament
Information: Jordan Crawford's 34.8 percentage of shots is seventh in the nation.

23.Michigan State
Record: 24-7
Last week’s ranking: 23
Last week: Defeated Penn State 67-65 and Michigan 64-48
This week: Minnesota or Penn State on Friday in Big Ten tournament
Information: Kalin Lucas' 1.8 fouls called per 40 minutes is 90th in the nation.

24.Missouri
Record: 22-9
Last week’s ranking: 22
Last week: Defeated Iowa State 69-67, lost to Kansas 77-56
This week: Nebraska on Wednesday in Big 12 tournament
Information: Kim English's 31.7 percentage of shots is 43rd in the nation.

25.Northern Iowa
Record: 28-4
Last week’s ranking: 25
Last week: Defeated Drake 55-40, Bradley 57-40 and Wichita State 67-52
This week: Off
Information: Jordan Eglseder's 16.6 offensive rebounding percentage is sixth in the nation.

Dropped out: No. 19 Vanderbilt

Others to watch: California (21-9), Florida State (22-8), Utah State (25-6), UTEP (24-5), Virginia Tech (23-7)

The Field of 65

ACC (7): Clemson, Duke, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Maryland, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest

America East (1): Vermont

Atlantic 10 (3): Richmond, Temple, Xavier

Atlantic Sun (1): East Tennessee State

Big 12 (7): Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas A&M

Big East (8): Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Villanova, West Virginia

Big Sky (1): Weber State

Big South (1): Winthrop

Big Ten (4): Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin

Big West (1): Pacific

Colonial (1): Old Dominion

Conference USA (2): UAB, UTEP

Horizon (1): Butler

Ivy (1): Cornell

Metro Atlantic (1): Siena

Mid-American (1): Kent State

Mid-Eastern (1): Morgan State

Missouri Valley (1): Northern Iowa

Mountain West (4): Brigham Young, New Mexico, San Diego State, UNLV

Northeast (1): Quinnipiac

Ohio Valley (1): Murray State

Pac-10 (3): Arizona State, California, Washington

Patriot (1): Lehigh

SEC (4): Kentucky, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Vanderbilt

Southern (1): Wofford

Southland (1): Sam Houston State

Summit (1): Oakland

Sun Belt (1): North Texas

SWAC (1): Jackson State

WAC (1): Utah State

West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary's

New to the dance: Arizona State, East Tennessee State, North Texas, Notre Dame, Oakland, Pacific, Washington, Winthrop

Tossed off the floor: Belmont, Coastal Carolina, Connecticut, Dayton, Florida, IUPUI, UC-Santa Barbara, Western Kentucky

The bubble team: Florida

Hello NIT: Charlotte, Cincinnati, Coastal Carolina, Connecticut, Dayton, Fairfield, Florida, Illinois, Illinois State, Lipscomb, Louisiana Tech, Marshall, Memphis, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nevada, New Mexico State, Northeastern, Portland, Rhode Island, St. John's, Saint Louis, Seton Hall, South Florida, Stony Brook, Texas Tech, Troy, Tulsa, UC-Santa Barbara, Virginia Commonwealth, Wichita State, William & Mary

John Perrotto is an author of Basketball Prospectus. You can contact John by clicking here or click here to see John's other articles.

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<< Previous Article
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The List (03/02)
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The List (03/16)
Next Article >>
From 347 to 65 (03/09)

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